Mid America Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MAA -- USA Stock  

USD 125.33  1.00  0.79%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mid America Apartment Communiti which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Mid America hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Mid America Apartment Communiti from the prospective of Mid America response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mid America over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Mid America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Mid America After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Mid America Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 20, 2019
125.33
Current Value
121.97
Downside
125.36
After-hype Price
128.75
Upside
Mid America is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mid America Apartment is based on 2 months time horizon.

Mid America Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 1.13% 0.03%  0.01% 9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
125.33125.360.02%
565.00% 

Mid America Hype Timeline

On 20 of August Mid America Apartment is traded for 125.33. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. Mid America Apartment Communiti is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 125.36. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 565.0%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is now at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Mid America is about 2173.08% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 125.34. The company reported last year revenue of 1.6B. Total Income to common stockholders was 235.63M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 929.12M. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days.
Please see also Mid America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mid America Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Dynex Capital 0.13 9 per month 0.00  0.14  1.69 (1.78)  208.90 
Ellington Residential Mortgage 0.13 9 per month 0.00 (0.0047)  1.19 (1.92)  5.04 
American Campus Communities(0.76) 9 per month 0.00  0.0191  1.51 (1.43)  3.43 
Apartment Investment and Manage(1.24) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0037)  1.58 (2.05)  4.59 
American Homes 4 Rent 0.13 9 per month 0.00  0.0229  1.64 (2.09)  4.13 
ARMOUR Residential REIT(0.13) 6 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.25 (2.12)  5.86 
AvalonBay Communities 2.47 9 per month 0.00  0.0052  1.40 (1.79)  4.54 
Bluerock Residential Growth REI(0.20) 7 per month 1.63  0.1  1.85 (2.92)  9.88 
BRT Apartments Corp 0.11 8 per month 2.63  0.05  3.14 (4.88)  18.62 
Capstead Mortgage Corporation(0.12) 7 per month 0.00 (0.015)  1.42 (2.44)  6.65 

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Please see also Mid America Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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