Mafatlal Industries (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MAFATIND -- India Stock  

INR 208.65  11.65  5.91%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mafatlal Industries Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Mafatlal Industries hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Mafatlal Industries Limited from the prospective of Mafatlal Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mafatlal Industries over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Mafatlal Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Mafatlal Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Mafatlal Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 20, 2018
208.65
Current Value
Downside
201.41
208.79
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
216.17
Upside
Mafatlal Industries is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mafatlal Industries is based on 1 month time horizon.

Mafatlal Industries Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 2.46% 0.14%  0.01% 1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
208.65208.790.07%
68.33% 

Mafatlal Industries Hype Timeline

Mafatlal Industries Limited is now traded for 208.65on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.14 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Mafatlal Industries Limited is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 208.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 68.33%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.07% where as daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Mafatlal Industries is about 1537.5% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 208.64. The company reported revenue of 11.68 B. Net Loss for the year was (417.78 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.78 B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Please see also Mafatlal Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Mafatlal Industries Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Tata Consultancy Services Limited(8.40) 4 per month 0.00  0.08  0.96 (0.94)  3.01 
Tata Consultancy Services Limited(0.30) 4 per month 0.00  0.08  1.08 (0.72)  2.98 
Reliance Industries Limited 31.25 4 per month 1.30 (0.034)  2.80 (2.55)  5.68 
Reliance Industries Limited 30.15 4 per month 1.29 (0.0175)  2.80 (2.49)  5.98 
HDFC Bank Limited(7.95) 5 per month 0.00 (0.62)  0.88 (1.44)  2.68 
HDFC Bank Limited(7.60) 5 per month 0.00 (0.57)  0.94 (1.17)  2.49 
ITC Limited(3.50) 4 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.25 (1.27)  4.54 
Hindustan Unilever Limited(3.95) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.92 (2.45)  8.28 
ITC Limited 0.00 3 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.08 (1.42)  5.21 
Hindustan Unilever Limited(31.30) 4 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.87 (2.39)  8.21 

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