Moelis Co Stock Price Prediction
| MC Stock | USD 53.22 1.57 3.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Moelis stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Moelis shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Moelis' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Moelis and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Moelis' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Moelis Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Moelis' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.02 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.12 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.5 | Wall Street Target Price 53.4 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Moelis based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Moelis stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Moelis over a specific investment horizon. Using Moelis hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Moelis Co from the perspective of Moelis response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Moelis using Moelis' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Moelis using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Moelis' stock price.
Moelis Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Moelis' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Moelis. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Moelis stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Moelis may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Moelis and may potentially protect profits, hedge Moelis with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 49.8777 | Short Percent 0.1021 | Short Ratio 8.83 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.7 M | 50 Day MA 54.2924 |
Moelis Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Moelis' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Moelis. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Moelis can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Moelis Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Moelis' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Moelis.
Moelis Implied Volatility | 43.0 |
Moelis' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Moelis Co stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Moelis' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Moelis stock will not fluctuate a lot when Moelis' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Moelis. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Moelis to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Moelis because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Moelis after-hype prediction price | USD 53.19 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Moelis |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Moelis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Moelis After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Moelis at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Moelis or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Moelis, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Moelis Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Moelis' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Moelis' historical news coverage. Moelis' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 51.23 and 55.15, respectively. We have considered Moelis' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Moelis is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Moelis is based on 3 months time horizon.
Moelis Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Moelis is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Moelis backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Moelis, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.96 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 12 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.22 | 53.19 | 0.06 |
|
Moelis Hype Timeline
As of April 23, 2024 Moelis is listed for 53.22. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Moelis is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.19. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Moelis is about 4611.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.22. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.97. Moelis recorded a loss per share of 0.36. The entity last dividend was issued on the 16th of February 2024. The firm had 1:2 split on the 29th of August 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Moelis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Moelis Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Moelis' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Moelis' future price movements. Getting to know how Moelis' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Moelis may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | (0.57) | 8 per month | 1.31 | 0.08 | 1.94 | (1.14) | 8.65 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.52 | 0.23 | 2.73 | (1.32) | 8.55 | |
| C | Citigroup | (0.34) | 10 per month | 0.99 | 0.11 | 2.28 | (1.88) | 8.13 | |
| AXP | American Express | 1.20 | 9 per month | 0.54 | 0.20 | 2.27 | (1.42) | 9.91 |
Moelis Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Moelis price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Moelis using various technical indicators. When you analyze Moelis charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Moelis Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Moelis stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Moelis Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Moelis based on analysis of Moelis hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Moelis's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Moelis's related companies. | 2021 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.12 | 0.0474 | 0.045 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.56 | 4.5 | 4.72 |
Story Coverage note for Moelis
The number of cover stories for Moelis depends on current market conditions and Moelis' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Moelis is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Moelis' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
View All Premium Stories
Moelis Short Properties
Moelis' future price predictability will typically decrease when Moelis' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Moelis Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Moelis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Moelis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 68.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 349.3 M |
Check out Moelis Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Moelis information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Moelis' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Moelis Stock analysis
When running Moelis' price analysis, check to measure Moelis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Moelis is operating at the current time. Most of Moelis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Moelis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Moelis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Moelis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| AI Portfolio Architect Use AI to generate optimal portfolios and find profitable investment opportunities | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Money Managers Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world | |
| Transaction History View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance | |
| Insider Screener Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance | |
| Bollinger Bands Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| AI Investment Finder Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Economic Indicators Top statistical indicators that provide insights into how an economy is performing | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios |
Is Moelis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Moelis. If investors know Moelis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Moelis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.95) | Dividend Share 2.4 | Earnings Share (0.36) | Revenue Per Share 12.819 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.037 |
The market value of Moelis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Moelis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Moelis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Moelis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Moelis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Moelis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Moelis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Moelis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Moelis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.