McDonalds Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MCD -- USA Stock  

USD 218.47  0.31  0.14%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with McDonalds Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With McDonalds hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of McDonalds Corporation from the prospective of McDonalds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on McDonalds over a specific investment horizon. Please see also McDonalds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

McDonalds After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

McDonalds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2019
218.47
Current Value
216.29
Downside
218.99
After-hype Price
221.69
Upside
McDonalds is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of McDonalds is based on 2 months time horizon.

McDonalds Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17% 0.92% 0.52%  0.08% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
218.47218.990.24%
29.97% 

McDonalds Hype Timeline

On 21 of August McDonalds is traded for 218.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.52 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. McDonalds Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 218.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 29.97%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.24% where as daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on McDonalds is about 188.9% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 218.39. The company reported last year revenue of 20.83B. Total Income to common stockholders was 5.9B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 10.79B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Please see also McDonalds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

McDonalds Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Biglari Holdings(3.95) 6 per month 0.00 (0.08)  5.27 (4.32)  11.05 
Dunkin Brands Group(0.14) 9 per month 0.99  0.12  2.07 (1.76)  4.77 
Flanigans Enterprises 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.17)  1.96 (3.37)  7.11 
Chipotle Mexican Grill(4.30) 9 per month 0.88  0.20  2.39 (1.62)  7.68 
Dine Brands Global Inc Common 3.66 9 per month 0.00 (0.24)  2.74 (3.98)  9.44 
Dominos Pizza(2.54) 8 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.08 (3.11)  11.27 
Darden Restaurants 1.57 8 per month 1.48  0.0399  2.11 (2.50)  6.22 
Brinker International 0.69 9 per month 2.15  0.0252  3.31 (4.16)  7.99 
Fiesta Restaurant Group 0.12 8 per month 0.00 (0.22)  2.18 (4.11)  12.87 
FAT Brands 0.0198 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.00 (4.87)  11.75 
Please see also McDonalds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
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