MFS Series Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MEIAX -- USA Fund  

USD 43.62  0.31  0.72%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with MFS Series Trust I MFS Value which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With MFS Series hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of MFS Series Trust I MFS Value from the prospective of MFS Series response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on MFS Series over a specific investment horizon. Please see also MFS Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

MFS Series After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

MFS Series Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 19, 2019
43.62
Current Value
43.64
After-hype Price
45.98
Upside
MFS Series is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of MFS Series Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

MFS Series Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.09  0.78% 0.02   0.01  11 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.6243.640.05 
325.00

MFS Series Hype Timeline

MFS Series Trust is now traded for43.62. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. MFS Series Trust I MFS Value is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 43.64. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 325.0%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.05% where as daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on MFS Series is about 804.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 43.63. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days.
Please see also MFS Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

MFS Series Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Delaware Value Fund Class R6(0.08) 10 per month 0.82 (0.0218)  1.11 (0.92)  4.64 
Equity Income Fund Class G 0.00 8 per month 0.49 (0.0474)  0.78 (1.19)  2.42 
Invesco Comstock Fund Class Y 0.40 8 per month 0.84  0.0429  1.51 (1.76)  3.69 
JPMorgan Value Advantage Fund R 0.12 12 per month 0.69  0.0117  1.11 (1.72)  3.27 
JPMorgan Value Advantage Fund R 0.24 11 per month 0.61  0.0479  1.16 (1.56)  3.63 
Federated Strategic Value Divid 0.02 3 per month 0.61 (0.07)  0.88 (1.06)  2.82 
AIG Focused Dividend Strategy F(0.01) 12 per month 0.99 (0.0364)  1.31 (1.93)  3.69 
Hartford Dividend And Growth Fu 0.02 11 per month 1.16  0.0053  1.10 (1.29)  6.88 
Hartford Dividend And Growth Fu 0.02 9 per month 0.63  0.0366  1.13 (1.44)  3.64 
Principal Fds Inc Equity Inco 0.24 11 per month 0.78 (0.0166)  1.06 (1.02)  4.28 
Please see also MFS Series Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing money flow index and other technical indicators.
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