Majestic Wine Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MJWNF -- USA Stock  

USD 3.32  0.00  0.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Majestic Wine Plc which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Majestic Wine hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Majestic Wine Plc from the prospective of Majestic Wine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Majestic Wine over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Majestic Wine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Majestic Wine After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Majestic Wine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 13, 2019
3.32
Current Value
3.32
After-hype Price
5.00
Upside
Majestic Wine is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Majestic Wine Plc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Majestic Wine Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  0.56% 0.00   8.90  1 Events / Month7 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
3.323.320.00 
0.00

Majestic Wine Hype Timeline

Majestic Wine Plc is now traded for3.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -8.9. Majestic Wine Plc is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Majestic Wine is about 0.38%%. The volatility of related hype on Majestic Wine is about 0.38% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -5.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Please see also Majestic Wine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Majestic Wine Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Visa 0.43 12 per month 1.45 (0.0497)  1.79 (2.70)  5.04 
Amazon Com 16.00 10 per month 1.23 (0.09)  1.60 (1.71)  5.57 
Alphabet(8.46) 9 per month 1.04  0.0453  1.97 (2.12)  5.14 
SK Innovation(1,500) 6 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.82 (2.41)  8.92 
Facebook 2.06 10 per month 1.60 (0.0131)  2.56 (2.38)  6.97 
Bristol Myer Squi Pf 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.09  17.71 (8.16)  43.11 
Microsoft Corporation(0.02) 11 per month 1.09  0.0274  1.89 (1.63)  5.26 
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2.38 10 per month 2.02  0.08  3.03 (3.80)  9.72 
Apple 6.28 7 per month 1.20  0.20  2.80 (2.32)  8.86 
VEDANTA LIMITED(2.10) 7 per month 3.54 (0.0133)  6.47 (5.61)  19.61 
Please see also Majestic Wine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Transformation module to use price transformation models to analyze depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
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