Monster Beverage Corp Stock Price Prediction
| MNST Stock | USD 53.60 0.46 0.87% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Monster Beverage Corp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Monster Beverage shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Monster Beverage's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Monster Beverage and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Monster Beverage's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Monster Beverage Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Monster Beverage's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.43 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.81 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.06 | Wall Street Target Price 64.18 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Monster Beverage based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Monster stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Monster Beverage over a specific investment horizon. Using Monster Beverage hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Monster Beverage Corp from the perspective of Monster Beverage response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Monster Beverage using Monster Beverage's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Monster using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Monster Beverage's stock price.
Monster Beverage Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Monster Beverage's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Monster. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Monster Beverage stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Monster Beverage may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Monster Beverage and may potentially protect profits, hedge Monster Beverage with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 55.8363 | Short Percent 0.0215 | Short Ratio 2.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.5 M | 50 Day MA 57.1446 |
Monster Beverage Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Monster Beverage's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Monster. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Monster can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Monster Beverage Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Monster Beverage's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Monster Beverage.
Monster Beverage Implied Volatility | 28.38 |
Monster Beverage's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Monster Beverage Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Monster Beverage's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Monster Beverage stock will not fluctuate a lot when Monster Beverage's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Monster Beverage. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Monster Beverage to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Monster because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Monster Beverage after-hype prediction price | USD 53.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Monster contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Monster Beverage Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.77% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Monster Beverage trading at USD 53.6, that is roughly USD 0.95 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Monster Beverage's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Monster Beverage Corp options at the current volatility level of 28.38%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Monster |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Monster Beverage's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Monster Beverage After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Monster Beverage at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Monster Beverage or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Monster Beverage, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Monster Beverage Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Monster Beverage's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Monster Beverage's historical news coverage. Monster Beverage's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 52.36 and 54.78, respectively. We have considered Monster Beverage's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Monster Beverage is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Monster Beverage Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Monster Beverage Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Monster Beverage is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Monster Beverage backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Monster Beverage, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.21 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
53.60 | 53.57 | 0.06 |
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Monster Beverage Hype Timeline
Monster Beverage Corp is now traded for 53.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Monster is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 53.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 165.75%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Monster Beverage is about 2688.89%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 53.60. About 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. Monster Beverage Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 2:1 split on the 28th of March 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Monster Beverage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Monster Beverage Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Monster Beverage's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Monster Beverage's future price movements. Getting to know how Monster Beverage's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Monster Beverage may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| COCO | Vita Coco | 0.46 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.88 | (4.00) | 18.89 | |
| PEP | PepsiCo | 0.47 | 7 per month | 0.88 | (0) | 1.65 | (1.22) | 5.44 | |
| KO | The Coca Cola | (0.47) | 10 per month | 0.67 | (0.08) | 1.20 | (1.02) | 3.85 | |
| KOF | Coca Cola Femsa SAB | (0.59) | 9 per month | 1.46 | 0 | 2.62 | (2.07) | 9.62 | |
| FIZZ | National Beverage Corp | 2.00 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.35 | (2.53) | 7.21 | |
| CELH | Celsius Holdings | (3.83) | 10 per month | 3.46 | 0.06 | 5.62 | (4.41) | 28.98 | |
| KDP | Keurig Dr Pepper | 0.05 | 9 per month | 1.32 | (0.06) | 1.81 | (1.95) | 5.62 | |
| CCEP | Coca Cola European Partners | 0.30 | 10 per month | 0.80 | (0.03) | 1.59 | (1.52) | 6.73 | |
| PRMW | Primo Water Corp | 0.05 | 11 per month | 0.71 | 0.24 | 2.93 | (1.84) | 5.35 | |
| COKE | Coca Cola Consolidated | 2.01 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.33 | (2.40) | 7.68 |
Monster Beverage Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Monster price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Monster using various technical indicators. When you analyze Monster charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Monster Beverage Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Monster Beverage stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Monster Beverage Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Monster Beverage based on analysis of Monster Beverage hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Monster Beverage's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Monster Beverage's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 59.06 | 58.77 | 61.04 | 64.09 | PTB Ratio | 7.73 | 7.61 | 7.32 | 4.82 |
Story Coverage note for Monster Beverage
The number of cover stories for Monster Beverage depends on current market conditions and Monster Beverage's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Monster Beverage is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Monster Beverage's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Monster Beverage Short Properties
Monster Beverage's future price predictability will typically decrease when Monster Beverage's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Monster Beverage Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Monster Beverage's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Monster Beverage's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.3 B |
Check out Monster Beverage Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Complementary Tools for Monster Stock analysis
When running Monster Beverage's price analysis, check to measure Monster Beverage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Monster Beverage is operating at the current time. Most of Monster Beverage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Monster Beverage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Monster Beverage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Monster Beverage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Monster Beverage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Monster Beverage. If investors know Monster will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Monster Beverage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.211 | Earnings Share 1.54 | Revenue Per Share 6.833 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.144 | Return On Assets 0.1399 |
The market value of Monster Beverage Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Monster that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Monster Beverage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Monster Beverage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Monster Beverage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Monster Beverage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Monster Beverage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Monster Beverage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Monster Beverage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.