Correlation Between MONA and Numeraire

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both MONA and Numeraire at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining MONA and Numeraire into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between MONA and Numeraire, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on MONA and Numeraire and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in MONA with a short position of Numeraire. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of MONA and Numeraire.

Diversification Opportunities for MONA and Numeraire

0.87
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between MONA and Numeraire is 0.87. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding MONA and Numeraire in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on Numeraire and MONA is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on MONA are associated (or correlated) with Numeraire. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of Numeraire has no effect on the direction of MONA i.e., MONA and Numeraire go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between MONA and Numeraire

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon MONA is expected to generate 0.56 times more return on investment than Numeraire. However, MONA is 1.8 times less risky than Numeraire. It trades about -0.2 of its potential returns per unit of risk. Numeraire is currently generating about -0.19 per unit of risk. If you would invest  41.00  in MONA on January 26, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (7.00) from holding MONA or give up 17.07% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

MONA  vs.  Numeraire

 Performance 
       Timeline  
MONA 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

2 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Weak
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in MONA are ranked lower than 2 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, MONA may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024.
Numeraire 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

7 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Numeraire are ranked lower than 7 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of rather unsteady basic indicators, Numeraire exhibited solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.

MONA and Numeraire Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with MONA and Numeraire

The main advantage of trading using opposite MONA and Numeraire positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if MONA position performs unexpectedly, Numeraire can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Numeraire will offset losses from the drop in Numeraire's long position.
The idea behind MONA and Numeraire pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
Check out your portfolio center.
Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.

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