Medical Properties Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MPW -- USA Stock  

USD 18.37  0.06  0.33%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Medical Properties Trust which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Medical Properties hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Medical Properties Trust from the prospective of Medical Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Medical Properties over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Medical Properties After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Medical Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 24, 2019
Current Value
After-hype Price
Medical Properties is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medical Properties Trust is based on 2 months time horizon.

Medical Properties Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.08% 1.50% 0.03%  0.02% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Medical Properties Hype Timeline

On 24 of August Medical Properties Trust is traded for 18.37. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Medical Properties Trust is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 18.34. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 365.85%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16% where as daily expected return is now at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Medical Properties is about 553.51% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 18.39. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Medical Properties Trust last dividend was issued on 2019-06-12. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Medical Properties Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
HCP(0.06) 9 per month 1.06  0.18  2.57 (1.92)  5.89 
National Health Investors 0.93 5 per month 0.85  0.20  1.34 (1.33)  3.86 
Healthcare Trust of America In 0.03 8 per month 1.21  0.09  1.54 (2.09)  3.69 
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo 0.36 10 per month 1.25  0.11  1.44 (1.90)  4.20 
Geo Group Inc REIT(0.35) 7 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.71 (4.22)  10.51 
Omega Healthcare Investors 0.37 7 per month 1.20  0.21  2.15 (1.91)  7.06 
Physicians Realty Trust(0.09) 9 per month 0.00  0.0376  1.66 (2.04)  4.09 
Medical Properties Trust(0.41) 7 per month 1.77  0.11  2.02 (3.02)  7.34 
LTC Properties 0.37 9 per month 1.07  0.23  1.55 (1.84)  3.98 
Community Healthcare Trust Inco 1.56 6 per month 1.00  0.24  1.83 (1.94)  3.77 

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Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.