Medical Properties Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

MPW -- USA Stock  

0.26 Dividend

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Medical Properties Trust which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Medical Properties hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Medical Properties Trust from the prospective of Medical Properties response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Medical Properties over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Medical Properties After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Medical Properties Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
December 12, 2019
After-hype Price
Medical Properties is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Medical Properties Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.

Medical Properties Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.15  1.45  0.03   0.02  10 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Medical Properties Hype Timeline

On the 12th of December 2019 Medical Properties Trust is traded for 20.24. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Medical Properties Trust is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 20.21. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 630.43%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15% where as daily expected return is now at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Medical Properties is about 935.48% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 20.22. About 80.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Medical Properties Trust last dividend was issued on 12/11/2019. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days.
Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Medical Properties Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Healthcare Realty Trust Incorpo(0.01) 8 per month 1.23 (0.0372)  1.69 (1.87)  6.22 
Physicians Realty Trust 0.1 10 per month 0.76  0.08  1.74 (1.34)  5.08 
Geo Group Inc REIT(0.17) 9 per month 0.00 (0.22)  3.02 (2.87)  9.09 
Healthcare Trust Of America In(0.05) 12 per month 1.20  0.0478  1.82 (2.04)  5.04 
LTC Properties 0.22 8 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.56 (2.40)  6.12 
Medical Properties Trust(0.23) 10 per month 1.67  0.07  1.90 (2.53)  8.06 
National Health Investors(0.97) 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.17 (1.55)  4.12 
Omega Healthcare Investors(0.45) 11 per month 1.05  0.019  1.45 (1.55)  5.02 
Community Healthcare Trust Inco 0.03 9 per month 1.92  0.08  2.58 (1.89)  12.37 
CareTrust REIT(0.02) 10 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.00 (3.02)  7.15 

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Latest Prospective on Medical Properties

Please see also Medical Properties Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Matrix module to view fundamentals matrix and analyze how accounts are interrelated and interconnected with each other.