Middlesex Water Stock Price Prediction
| MSEX Stock | USD 49.08 0.84 1.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
37
Oversold | Overbought |
Middlesex Water stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Middlesex Water shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Middlesex Water's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Middlesex Water and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Middlesex Water's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Middlesex Water, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Middlesex Water's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.47 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.22 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.35 | Wall Street Target Price 61.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Middlesex Water based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Middlesex stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Middlesex Water over a specific investment horizon. Using Middlesex Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Middlesex Water from the perspective of Middlesex Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Middlesex Water using Middlesex Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Middlesex using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Middlesex Water's stock price.
Middlesex Water Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Middlesex Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Middlesex Water stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Middlesex Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Middlesex Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when Middlesex Water's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Middlesex Water. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Middlesex Water to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Middlesex because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Middlesex Water after-hype prediction price | USD 48.24 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Middlesex |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Middlesex Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Middlesex Water After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Middlesex Water at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Middlesex Water or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Middlesex Water, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Middlesex Water Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Middlesex Water's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Middlesex Water's historical news coverage. Middlesex Water's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 46.19 and 50.29, respectively. We have considered Middlesex Water's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Middlesex Water is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Middlesex Water is based on 3 months time horizon.
Middlesex Water Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Middlesex Water is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Middlesex Water backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Middlesex Water, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.07 | 0.28 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
49.08 | 48.24 | 0.00 |
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Middlesex Water Hype Timeline
Middlesex Water is now traded for 49.08. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.28, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Middlesex is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 171.07%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Middlesex Water is about 1881.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.11. About 75.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.98. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Middlesex Water last dividend was issued on the 14th of February 2024. The entity had 4:3 split on the 17th of November 2003. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Middlesex Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Middlesex Water Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Middlesex Water's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Middlesex Water's future price movements. Getting to know how Middlesex Water's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Middlesex Water may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SJW | SJW Corporation | 0.64 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.11 | (2.55) | 6.13 | |
| AWR | American States Water | (0.07) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.92 | (2.48) | 6.05 | |
| YORW | The York Water | 0.24 | 8 per month | 1.39 | (0.07) | 1.94 | (2.01) | 6.53 | |
| ARTNA | Artesian Resources | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.41 | (3.35) | 7.75 | |
| CWT | California Water Service | (0.33) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.39 | (1.71) | 6.86 | |
| GWRS | Global Water Resources | (0.01) | 10 per month | 2.03 | (0.03) | 3.10 | (3.03) | 12.38 | |
| CWCO | Consolidated Water Co | (0.05) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 2.38 | (3.66) | 16.89 | |
| WTRG | Essential Utilities | (0.44) | 11 per month | 1.83 | (0.06) | 2.00 | (2.70) | 7.98 | |
| AWK | American Water Works | 1.07 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.69 | (2.00) | 6.04 |
Middlesex Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Middlesex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Middlesex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Middlesex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Middlesex Water Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Middlesex Water stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Middlesex Water, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Middlesex Water based on analysis of Middlesex Water hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Middlesex Water's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Middlesex Water's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.009263 | 0.0151 | 0.0194 | 0.0184 | Price To Sales Ratio | 14.7 | 8.52 | 7.0 | 7.35 |
Story Coverage note for Middlesex Water
The number of cover stories for Middlesex Water depends on current market conditions and Middlesex Water's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Middlesex Water is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Middlesex Water's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Middlesex Water Short Properties
Middlesex Water's future price predictability will typically decrease when Middlesex Water's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Middlesex Water often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Middlesex Water's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Middlesex Water's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.4 M |
Check out Middlesex Water Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Middlesex Stock please use our How to Invest in Middlesex Water guide.Note that the Middlesex Water information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Middlesex Water's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for Middlesex Stock analysis
When running Middlesex Water's price analysis, check to measure Middlesex Water's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Middlesex Water is operating at the current time. Most of Middlesex Water's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Middlesex Water's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Middlesex Water's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Middlesex Water to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Middlesex Water's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Middlesex Water. If investors know Middlesex will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Middlesex Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.20) | Dividend Share 1.263 | Earnings Share 1.76 | Revenue Per Share 9.377 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Middlesex Water is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Middlesex that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Middlesex Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Middlesex Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Middlesex Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Middlesex Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Middlesex Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Middlesex Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Middlesex Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.