Microsoft Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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MSFT -- USA Stock  


Microsoft Return on Investment is comparatively stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Microsoft reported Return on Investment of 29.63 in 2019. Revenue to Assets is likely to grow to 0.57 in 2020, whereas Cash Flow Per Share is likely to drop 5.04 in 2020. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Microsoft Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Microsoft hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Microsoft Corporation from the prospective of Microsoft response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Microsoft over a specific investment horizon. Additionally see Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Microsoft After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
  Expected price to next headline 

Microsoft Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
February 18, 2020
After-hype Price
Microsoft is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Microsoft is based on 3 months time horizon.

Microsoft Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.36  1.11  0.60   0.27  12 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 12 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Microsoft Hype Timeline

Microsoft is now traded for185.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.6 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.27. Microsoft Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 185.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 66.07%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.31% where as daily expected return is now at 0.36%. The volatility of related hype on Microsoft is about 147.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 185.62. The company reported previous year revenue of 134.25 B. Net Income was 44.32 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 82.93 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 12 days.
Additionally see Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Microsoft Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
EVO Payments(0.23) 9 per month 1.30 (0.0031)  2.52 (2.26)  7.95 
Euronet Worldwide 2.27 10 per month 0.00 (0.11)  1.87 (1.86)  10.11 
Datasea 0.78 3 per month 7.61  0.1  15.11 (13.08)  72.15 
F5 Networks(1.14) 8 per month 0.00 (0.20)  2.13 (2.93)  7.43 
BlackBerry Limited 0.03 10 per month 1.69 (0.0091)  2.97 (2.83)  17.40 
Fair Isaac Corproation 4.03 8 per month 0.83  0.22  2.20 (1.83)  5.90 
Bottomline Technologies 0.34 8 per month 1.58  0.0078  2.28 (2.84)  9.77 
Evertec 0.49 8 per month 1.02  0.09  2.63 (1.98)  6.22 
BlackLine 1.05 8 per month 0.99  0.21  2.95 (2.55)  10.18 
FireEye(0.10) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.56 (2.71)  9.62 
Additionally see Microsoft Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 stocks, funds, and etfs against different fundamentals.
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