Microsoft Stock Technical Analysis

MSFT Stock  USD 417.32  0.90  0.22%   
As of the 19th of March, Microsoft secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0972, downside deviation of 1.14, and Mean Deviation of 0.8911. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of Microsoft, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Microsoft, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify Microsoft variance, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and skewness to decide if Microsoft is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 417.32 per share. Given that Microsoft has jensen alpha of 0.0764, we recommend you to check Microsoft's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Microsoft Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as Microsoft, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to Microsoft
  
Microsoft's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

Microsoft Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
392.34Strong Buy58Odds
Microsoft current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Microsoft analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Microsoft stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Microsoft, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Microsoft conference calls.
Microsoft Analyst Advice Details
Microsoft technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Microsoft technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Microsoft trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

Microsoft Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
The output start index for this execution was one with a total number of output elements of sixty. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of Microsoft volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

Microsoft Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for Microsoft. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for Microsoft as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual Microsoft price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

Microsoft Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for Microsoft applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.81  , which means Microsoft will continue generating value for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 24734.68, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted Microsoft price change compared to its average price change.

About Microsoft Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of Microsoft on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Microsoft based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on Microsoft price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding Microsoft. By analyzing Microsoft's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Microsoft's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to Microsoft specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Price Earnings Ratio26.6235.1640.4431.93
Short Term Coverage Ratios32.3916.6919.219.02

Microsoft March 19, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of Microsoft help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Microsoft from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze Microsoft charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Microsoft March 19, 2024 Daily Trend Indicators

Traders often use several different daily volumes and price technical indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Microsoft stock. With literally thousands of different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
When determining whether Microsoft is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Microsoft Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Microsoft Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Microsoft Stock:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Microsoft. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
For more information on how to buy Microsoft Stock please use our How to Invest in Microsoft guide.
Note that the Microsoft information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Microsoft's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for Microsoft Stock analysis

When running Microsoft's price analysis, check to measure Microsoft's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Microsoft is operating at the current time. Most of Microsoft's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Microsoft's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Microsoft's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Microsoft to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Microsoft's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Microsoft. If investors know Microsoft will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Microsoft listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.332
Dividend Share
2.86
Earnings Share
11.08
Revenue Per Share
30.612
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.176
The market value of Microsoft is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Microsoft that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Microsoft's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Microsoft's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Microsoft's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Microsoft's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Microsoft's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Microsoft is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Microsoft's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.