National Bank (Germany) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

NB9 -- Germany Stock  

EUR 31.96  0.22  0.69%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with National Bank Holdings Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With National Bank hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of National Bank Holdings Corporation from the prospective of National Bank response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on National Bank over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Stocks Correlation.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

National Bank After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

National Bank Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 21, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
National Bank is Unknown risk asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of National Bank Holdings is based on 1 month time horizon.

National Bank Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31% 0.53% 0.07%  34.77% 3 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

National Bank Hype Timeline

National Bank Holdings Corporation is now traded for 31.96on Frankfurt Stock Exchange of Germany. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 34.77. National Bank Holdings Corporation is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 252.38%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is now at 0.31%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to National Bank is about 0.47%%. The volatility of related hype on National Bank is about 0.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 66.73. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.61. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Bank Holdings Corporation last dividend was issued on Augustust 30, 2018. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Please see also Stocks Correlation.

National Bank Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Apple 0.82 6 per month 1.46  0.16  1.78 (2.76)  5.66 
Amazon(42.29) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.63 (3.73)  7.84 
Ecopetrol S A(0.1) 4 per month 2.49  0.06  5.15 (3.49)  10.58 
Alphabet(25.65) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0315)  1.74 (3.26)  5.05 
BT Group plc 0.97 4 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.07 (3.24)  5.86 
Facebook(0.42) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0189)  1.94 (3.03)  7.45 
Berkshire Hathaway 1,187 6 per month 0.00  0.012  1.35 (1.94)  9.21 
Berkshire Hathaway 0.80 5 per month 0.00 (0.0007)  1.97 (3.71)  5.82 
Alibaba Group Holding Limited 2.11 6 per month 0.00 (0.14)  2.45 (3.41)  8.58 
Facebook(1.75) 6 per month 0.00 (0.0209)  2.09 (2.16)  5.68 

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