Nbt Bancorp Stock Price Prediction
| NBTB Stock | USD 36.02 1.23 3.54% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
41
Oversold | Overbought |
NBT Bancorp stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of NBT Bancorp shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of NBT Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of NBT Bancorp and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from NBT Bancorp's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with NBT Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of NBT Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The NBT stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on NBT Bancorp over a specific investment horizon. Using NBT Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of NBT Bancorp from the perspective of NBT Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in NBT Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in NBT Bancorp to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NBT because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
NBT Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 36.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NBT |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of NBT Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
NBT Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of NBT Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in NBT Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of NBT Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
NBT Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting NBT Bancorp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on NBT Bancorp's historical news coverage. NBT Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.01 and 38.03, respectively. We have considered NBT Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
NBT Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of NBT Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.
NBT Bancorp Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as NBT Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading NBT Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with NBT Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.01 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.02 | 36.02 | 0.00 |
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NBT Bancorp Hype Timeline
NBT Bancorp is now traded for 36.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. NBT is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on NBT Bancorp is about 7882.35%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.02. About 59.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.12. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. NBT Bancorp last dividend was issued on the 29th of February 2024. The entity had 105:100 split on the 29th of November 1999. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be uncertain. Check out NBT Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.NBT Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to NBT Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict NBT Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how NBT Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how NBT Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
NBT Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NBT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NBT using various technical indicators. When you analyze NBT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About NBT Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of NBT Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as NBT Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of NBT Bancorp based on analysis of NBT Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to NBT Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to NBT Bancorp's related companies. Story Coverage note for NBT Bancorp
The number of cover stories for NBT Bancorp depends on current market conditions and NBT Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that NBT Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about NBT Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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NBT Bancorp Short Properties
NBT Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when NBT Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of NBT Bancorp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential NBT Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. NBT Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 44.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -173.8 M |
Check out NBT Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade NBT Stock refer to our How to Trade NBT Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Complementary Tools for NBT Stock analysis
When running NBT Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure NBT Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy NBT Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of NBT Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of NBT Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move NBT Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of NBT Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is NBT Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of NBT Bancorp. If investors know NBT will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about NBT Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of NBT Bancorp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NBT that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of NBT Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is NBT Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because NBT Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect NBT Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between NBT Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if NBT Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, NBT Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.