National Fuel Gas Stock Analysis
NFG Stock | USD 53.75 0.18 0.34% |
National Fuel Gas is fairly valued with Real Value of 55.24 and Target Price of 62.0. The main objective of National Fuel stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what National Fuel Gas is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of National Fuel's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect National Fuel's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of National Fuel's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The National Fuel stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. National Fuel is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. National Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and National Fuel's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
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National Stock Analysis Notes
About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.54. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. National Fuel Gas has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.05. The entity last dividend was issued on the 27th of March 2024. The firm had 2:1 split on the 10th of September 2001. National Fuel Gas Company operates as a diversified energy company. National Fuel Gas Company was incorporated in 1902 and is headquartered in Williamsville, New York. National Fuel operates under Oil Gas Integrated classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 2188 people. To find out more about National Fuel Gas contact Ronald Tanski at 716 857 7000 or learn more at https://www.nationalfuel.com.National Fuel Quarterly Total Revenue |
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National Fuel Gas Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. National Fuel's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding National Fuel Gas or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
The company has 2.67 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Fuel Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist National Fuel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Fuel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Fuel Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Fuel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Over 76.0% of National Fuel shares are owned by institutional investors | |
On 15th of April 2024 National Fuel paid $ 0.495 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from globenewswire.com: National Fuel Schedules Second Quarter Fiscal 2024 Earnings Conference Call |
National Fuel Gas Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by National Fuel to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to National Fuel previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
7th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
1st of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
6th of November 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
National Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact National Fuel's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2002-10-24 | 2002-09-30 | 0.06 | 0.05 | -0.01 | 16 | ||
2000-07-27 | 2000-06-30 | 0.2 | 0.18 | -0.02 | 10 | ||
2004-10-28 | 2004-09-30 | 0.12 | 0.09 | -0.03 | 25 |
National Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as National Fuel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading National Fuel Gas backward and forwards among themselves. National Fuel's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase National Fuel's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Thompson, Siegel & Walmsley Llc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 992.7 K | Equity Investment Corp | 2023-12-31 | 972.7 K | Victory Capital Management Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 890.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 883.3 K | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 882.7 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 759.9 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 748.1 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 13.2 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 8.3 M |
National Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.95 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate National Fuel's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by National Fuel's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.National Profitablity
National Fuel's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase National Fuel's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, National Fuel is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, National Fuel's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of National Fuel's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of National Fuel's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.22 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.4 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.4 of operating income. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
Return On Equity | 0.19 | 0.12 |
Management Efficiency
National Fuel Gas has Return on Asset of 0.054 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.054 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1542 %, implying that it generated $0.1542 on every 100 dollars invested. National Fuel's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well National Fuel manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to 0.04. The current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to decrease to 0.09. At this time, National Fuel's Net Tangible Assets are most likely to decrease significantly in the upcoming years. The National Fuel's current Deferred Long Term Asset Charges is estimated to increase to about 93.5 M, while Non Current Assets Total are projected to decrease to roughly 4.8 B.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 29.07 | 14.84 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 29.02 | 14.81 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 7.17 | 8.92 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 1.45 | 1.69 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 7.17 | 8.92 | |
Price Fair Value | 1.45 | 1.69 | |
Enterprise Value | 6.6 B | 4 B |
The analysis of National Fuel's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze National Fuel's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of National Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0368 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0368 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.98 | Beta 0.65 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 24th of April, National Fuel secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0931, downside deviation of 1.23, and Mean Deviation of 1.02. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Fuel Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for National Fuel, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify National Fuel Gas information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National Fuel Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 53.75 per share. Given that National Fuel Gas has jensen alpha of 0.1047, we recommend you to check National Fuel's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.National Fuel Gas Price Movement Analysis
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. National Fuel middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for National Fuel Gas. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
National Fuel Gas Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific National Fuel insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on National Fuel's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases National Fuel insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
David Anderson over three weeks ago Acquisition by David Anderson of 820 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Michael Reville over three weeks ago Disposition of 450 shares by Michael Reville of National Fuel at 52.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ronald Tanski over three months ago Acquisition by Ronald Tanski of 865 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ronald Tanski over three months ago Bona fide gift to Ronald Tanski of 1980 shares of National Fuel subject to Section 16 | ||
Ronald Tanski over six months ago Acquisition by Ronald Tanski of 857 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Ronald Tanski over a year ago Acquisition by Ronald Tanski of 758 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 |
National Fuel Outstanding Bonds
National Fuel issues bonds to finance its operations. Corporate bonds make up one of the largest components of the U.S. bond market, which is considered the world's largest securities market. National Fuel Gas uses the proceeds from bond sales for a wide variety of purposes, including financing ongoing mergers and acquisitions, buying new equipment, investing in research and development, buying back their own stock, paying dividends to shareholders, and even refinancing existing debt. Most National bonds can be classified according to their maturity, which is the date when National Fuel Gas has to pay back the principal to investors. Maturities can be short-term, medium-term, or long-term (more than ten years). Longer-term bonds usually offer higher interest rates but may entail additional risks.
US636180BC40 Corp BondUS636180BC40 | View | |
NATIONAL FUEL GAS Corp BondUS636180BM22 | View | |
US636180BN05 Corp BondUS636180BN05 | View | |
NATIONAL FUEL GAS Corp BondUS636180BP52 | View | |
US636180BQ36 Corp BondUS636180BQ36 | View | |
NFG 295 01 MAR 31 Corp BondUS636180BR19 | View |
National Fuel Predictive Daily Indicators
National Fuel intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of National Fuel stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
National Fuel Corporate Filings
F4 | 3rd of April 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 28th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8K | 11th of March 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 14th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 13th of February 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
8K | 8th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 7th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
13A | 25th of January 2024 An amended filing to the original Schedule 13G | ViewVerify |
National Fuel Forecast Models
National Fuel's time-series forecasting models are one of many National Fuel's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary National Fuel's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About National Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how National Fuel prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling National shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as National Fuel. By using and applying National Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying National entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.27 | 0.28 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.31 | 0.33 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.20 | 0.21 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.45 | 0.55 |
Current National Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. National analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. National analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
62.0 | Buy | 5 | Odds |
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Fuel Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Stock Analysis Indicators
National Fuel Gas stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how National Fuel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading National Fuel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying National Fuel stock analysis, traders can identify National Fuel position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 137.7 M | |
Long Term Debt | 2.4 B | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 92.3 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 3 B | |
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.1 B | |
Tax Provision | 164.5 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.217 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 7.3 B | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 55.4 M | |
Cash | 55.4 M | |
Accounts Payable | 152.2 M | |
Net Debt | 2.6 B | |
50 Day M A | 51.2324 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 806.3 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 1.4 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 7.9 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 10.4275 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 77 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 20.6 M |
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Fuel Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the National Fuel Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Fuel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 1.96 | Earnings Share 4.77 | Revenue Per Share 22.218 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.