National Fuel Gas Stock Performance
| NFG Stock | USD 52.01 0.03 0.06% |
National Fuel has a performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.0, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. National Fuel returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, National Fuel is expected to follow. National Fuel Gas right now secures a risk of 1.44%. Please verify National Fuel Gas expected short fall, and the relationship between the value at risk and daily balance of power , to decide if National Fuel Gas will be following its current price movements.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
8 of 100
Weak | Strong |
OK
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in National Fuel Gas are ranked lower than 8 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite nearly fragile technical and fundamental indicators, National Fuel may actually be approaching a critical reversion point that can send shares even higher in May 2024. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.06) | Five Day Return (3.69) | Year To Date Return 2.36 | Ten Year Return (25.60) | All Time Return 1.4 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.038 | Payout Ratio 0.4134 | Last Split Factor 2:1 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.98 | Dividend Date 2024-04-15 |
1 | Whats in Store for National Fuel Gas in Q1 Earnings | 02/05/2024 |
2 | National Fuel Gas Shares Sold by Invesco Ltd. - MarketBeat | 02/26/2024 |
3 | National Fuel Reports Preliminary Voting Resultsfrom the Annual Meeting of Stockholders | 03/11/2024 |
4 | Acquisition by Michael Reville of 3831 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/18/2024 |
5 | National Fuel Gas Upgraded to Hold by StockNews.com - Defense World | 03/19/2024 |
6 | Disposition of 450 shares by Michael Reville of National Fuel at 52.72 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/27/2024 |
7 | National Fuel Gas executive sells shares worth over 23k | 03/28/2024 |
8 | Acquisition by David Anderson of 820 shares of National Fuel subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/01/2024 |
9 | National Fuel Gas Companys Stock Is Going Strong Is the Market Following Fundamentals | 04/03/2024 |
10 | National Fuel Gas Shares Purchased by Blue Trust Inc. - Defense World | 04/08/2024 |
| National Fuel dividend paid on 15th of April 2024 | 04/15/2024 |
11 | National Fuel Gas Company Could Be Riskier Than It Looks | 04/18/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 137.7 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -1.1 B |
National |
National Fuel Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 4,715 in National Fuel Gas on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of 486.00 from holding National Fuel Gas or generate 10.31% return on investment over 90 days. National Fuel Gas is generating 0.1659% of daily returns assuming volatility of 1.4415% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 12% of stocks are less volatile than National, and above 97% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
National Fuel Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for National Fuel's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as National Fuel Gas, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a National Fuel's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.1151
| Best Portfolio | Best Equity | |||
| Good Returns | ||||
| Average Returns | ||||
| Small Returns | NFG | |||
| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns |
Estimated Market Risk
| 1.44 actual daily | 12 88% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.17 actual daily | 3 97% of assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.12 actual daily | 8 92% of assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average National Fuel is performing at about 8% of its full potential. If added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of National Fuel by adding it to a well-diversified portfolio.
National Fuel Fundamentals Growth
National Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of National Fuel, and National Fuel fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on National Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.054 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.22 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.40 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 7.44 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 92.13 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 11.98 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.54 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.40 X | ||||
| Revenue | 2.17 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.26 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 1.18 B | ||||
| Net Income | 476.87 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 55.45 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 4.73 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 2.67 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.52 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.53 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 34.46 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.24 B | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.77 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 4.79 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 8.28 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 1.89 B | ||||
| Working Capital | (391.88 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 306.07 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 303.74 M | ||||
About National Fuel Performance
To evaluate National Fuel Gas Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when National Fuel generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare National Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand National Fuel Gas market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents National's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 25.80 | 42.85 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.12 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.04 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.19 | 0.12 |
Things to note about National Fuel Gas performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about National Fuel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for National Fuel Gas help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 2.67 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.52, which is OK given its current industry classification. National Fuel Gas has a current ratio of 0.52, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist National Fuel until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, National Fuel's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like National Fuel Gas sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for National to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about National Fuel's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 76.0% of National Fuel shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 15th of April 2024 National Fuel paid $ 0.495 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: National Fuel Gas Company Could Be Riskier Than It Looks |
- Analyzing National Fuel's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether National Fuel's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining National Fuel's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating National Fuel's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of National Fuel's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of National Fuel's stock. These opinions can provide insight into National Fuel's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Fuel Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the National Fuel Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Fuel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis
When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Price Ceiling Movement Calculate and plot Price Ceiling Movement for different equity instruments | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities | |
| ETF Categories List of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments | |
| Portfolio File Import Quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format | |
| Efficient Frontier Plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market. | |
| Money Flow Index Determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Stock Tickers Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites | |
| CEOs Directory Screen CEOs from public companies around the world | |
| Portfolio Manager State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital |
Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Dividend Share 1.96 | Earnings Share 4.77 | Revenue Per Share 22.218 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.20) |
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.