National Fuel Gas Stock Technical Analysis

NFG Stock  USD 53.75  0.18  0.34%   
As of the 25th of April, National Fuel secures the Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0931, mean deviation of 1.02, and Downside Deviation of 1.23. In connection with fundamental indicators, the technical analysis model lets you check existing technical drivers of National Fuel Gas, as well as the relationship between them. Strictly speaking, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of past prices, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for National Fuel, which can be compared to its peers in the industry. Please verify National Fuel Gas information ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the Value At Risk and expected short fall to decide if National Fuel Gas is priced some-what accurately, providing market reflects its recent price of 53.75 per share. Given that National Fuel Gas has jensen alpha of 0.2084, we recommend you to check National Fuel's last-minute market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

National Fuel Momentum Analysis

Momentum indicators are widely used technical indicators which help to measure the pace at which the price of specific equity, such as National, fluctuates. Many momentum indicators also complement each other and can be helpful when the market is rising or falling as compared to National
  
National Fuel's Momentum analyses are specifically helpful, as they help investors time the market using mark points where the market can reverse. The reversal spots are usually identified through divergence between price movement and momentum.

National Fuel Analyst Consensus

Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
62.0Buy5Odds
National Fuel Gas current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most National analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand National stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of National Fuel Gas, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to National conference calls.
National Analyst Advice Details
National Fuel technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of National Fuel technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of National Fuel trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...

National Fuel Gas Technical Analysis

Indicator
Time Period
Execute Indicator
Incorrect Input. Please change your parameters or increase the time horizon required for running this function. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Average True Range was developed by J. Welles Wilder in 1970s. It is one of components of the Welles Wilder Directional Movement indicators. The ATR is a measure of National Fuel Gas volatility. High ATR values indicate high volatility, and low values indicate low volatility.

National Fuel Gas Trend Analysis

Use this graph to draw trend lines for National Fuel Gas. You can use it to identify possible trend reversals for National Fuel as well as other signals and approximate when it will take place. Remember, you need at least two touches of the trend line with actual National Fuel price movement. To start drawing, click on the pencil icon on top-right. To remove the trend, use eraser icon.

National Fuel Best Fit Change Line

The following chart estimates an ordinary least squares regression model for National Fuel Gas applied against its price change over selected period. The best fit line has a slop of   0.14  , which may imply that National Fuel Gas will maintain its good market sentiment and make money for investors. It has 122 observation points and a regression sum of squares at 723.74, which is the sum of squared deviations for the predicted National Fuel price change compared to its average price change.

About National Fuel Technical Analysis

The technical analysis module can be used to analyzes prices, returns, volume, basic money flow, and other market information and help investors to determine the real value of National Fuel Gas on a daily or weekly bases. We use both bottom-up as well as top-down valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of National Fuel Gas based on its technical analysis. In general, a bottom-up approach, as applied to this company, focuses on National Fuel Gas price pattern first instead of the macroeconomic environment surrounding National Fuel Gas. By analyzing National Fuel's financials, daily price indicators, and related drivers such as dividends, momentum ratios, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of National Fuel's intrinsic value. As compared to a bottom-up approach, our top-down model examines the macroeconomic factors that affect the industry/economy before zooming in to National Fuel specific price patterns or momentum indicators. Please read more on our technical analysis page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.02990.0370.04250.0383
Price To Sales Ratio2.572.191.971.33

National Fuel April 25, 2024 Technical Indicators

Most technical analysis of National help investors determine whether a current trend will continue and, if not, when it will shift. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for National from various momentum indicators to cycle indicators. When you analyze National charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at different other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
When determining whether National Fuel Gas is a strong investment it is important to analyze National Fuel's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact National Fuel's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding National Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in National Fuel Gas. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.
Note that the National Fuel Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other National Fuel's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.

Complementary Tools for National Stock analysis

When running National Fuel's price analysis, check to measure National Fuel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy National Fuel is operating at the current time. Most of National Fuel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of National Fuel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move National Fuel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of National Fuel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Transaction History
View history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance
Idea Analyzer
Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Anywhere
Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device
Portfolio Manager
State of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital
Money Managers
Screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world
Risk-Return Analysis
View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume
Bonds Directory
Find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies
Portfolio Suggestion
Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios
Latest Portfolios
Quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios
Portfolio Analyzer
Portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine
Insider Screener
Find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance
Is National Fuel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of National Fuel. If investors know National will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about National Fuel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.22)
Dividend Share
1.96
Earnings Share
4.9
Revenue Per Share
22.218
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.20)
The market value of National Fuel Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of National that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of National Fuel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is National Fuel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because National Fuel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect National Fuel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between National Fuel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if National Fuel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, National Fuel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.