Nitin Fire (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

NITINFIRE -- India Stock  

INR 2.72  0.03  1.09%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Nitin Fire hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited from the prospective of Nitin Fire response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nitin Fire over a specific investment horizon. Please see also Nitin Fire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Nitin Fire After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Nitin Fire Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 21, 2018
2.72
Current Value
2.60
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
12.86
Upside
Nitin Fire is extremely volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nitin Fire Protection is based on 1 month time horizon.

Nitin Fire Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.07% 3.42% 0.12%  6.72% 4 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.722.604.41%
3,109% 

Nitin Fire Hype Timeline

Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited is now traded for 2.72on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.12 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -6.72. Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 2.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3109.09%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -4.41% where as daily expected return is now at -1.07%. The volatility of related hype on Nitin Fire is about 54.46% with expected price after next announcement by competition of -4.0. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.25. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nitin Fire Protection Industries Limited recorded loss per share of 5.72. This company last dividend was issued on 2015-09-10. The firm had 4:3 split on 2014-11-13. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days.
Please see also Nitin Fire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nitin Fire Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Tata Consultancy Services Limited(21.85) 5 per month 0.00  0.08  1.08 (0.72)  2.98 
Tata Consultancy Services Limited 14.40 2 per month 0.00  0.08  0.96 (0.94)  3.01 
Reliance Industries Limited(15.50) 3 per month 1.30 (0.034)  2.80 (2.55)  5.68 
Reliance Industries Limited 30.15 3 per month 1.35 (0.0187)  2.80 (2.49)  5.98 
HDFC Bank Limited(7.95) 5 per month 0.00 (0.56)  0.88 (1.44)  2.68 
HDFC Bank Limited 12.45 6 per month 0.00 (0.47)  0.94 (1.46)  2.60 
ITC Limited(3.50) 4 per month 0.00 (0.21)  2.25 (1.27)  4.54 
Hindustan Unilever Limited(54.55) 5 per month 0.00 (0.19)  1.92 (2.45)  8.28 
ITC Limited(1.60) 4 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.08 (1.42)  5.21 
Hindustan Unilever Limited(14.85) 5 per month 0.00 (0.18)  1.87 (2.39)  8.21 

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Please see also Nitin Fire Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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