Nu Skin Enterprises Stock Price Prediction
| NUS Stock | USD 12.47 0.28 2.20% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Nu Skin Enterprises stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nu Skin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nu Skin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nu Skin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nu Skin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nu Skin Enterprises, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nu Skin's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.34 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.14 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.55 | Wall Street Target Price 14.5 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nu Skin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The NUS stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nu Skin over a specific investment horizon. Using Nu Skin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nu Skin Enterprises from the perspective of Nu Skin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nu Skin using Nu Skin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards NUS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nu Skin's stock price.
Nu Skin Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Nu Skin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards NUS. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nu Skin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Nu Skin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nu Skin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nu Skin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 19.099 | Short Percent 0.0467 | Short Ratio 2.19 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 12.9432 |
Nu Skin Enterprises Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nu Skin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in NUS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding NUS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nu Skin Enterprises. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nu Skin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nu Skin.
Nu Skin Implied Volatility | 61.26 |
Nu Skin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nu Skin Enterprises stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nu Skin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nu Skin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nu Skin's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nu Skin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nu Skin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying NUS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nu Skin after-hype prediction price | USD 12.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
NUS |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Skin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nu Skin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nu Skin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nu Skin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nu Skin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nu Skin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nu Skin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nu Skin's historical news coverage. Nu Skin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.90 and 16.24, respectively. We have considered Nu Skin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nu Skin is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nu Skin Enterprises is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nu Skin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nu Skin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nu Skin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nu Skin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 3.67 | 0.10 | 0.20 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.47 | 12.57 | 0.80 |
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Nu Skin Hype Timeline
On the 25th of April Nu Skin Enterprises is traded for 12.47. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.2. NUS is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 12.57 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.8%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Nu Skin is about 1065.48%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.97 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 8.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.59 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Nu Skin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nu Skin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nu Skin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nu Skin's future price movements. Getting to know how Nu Skin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nu Skin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corp | 2.56 | 5 per month | 2.03 | 0.02 | 3.07 | (2.93) | 9.69 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | (0.69) | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.01 | 3.61 | (2.92) | 10.17 | |
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | 0.76 | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.05 | 4.60 | (2.99) | 10.31 | |
| ASBFF | Associated British Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 0.00 | (0.25) | 4.78 | |
| SENEB | Seneca Foods Corp | 0.05 | 2 per month | 1.90 | 0.04 | 4.08 | (3.57) | 15.16 | |
| MKC-V | McCormick Company Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.07 | 3.18 | (1.98) | 13.70 | |
| JJSF | J J Snack | (0.80) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.42 | (2.55) | 8.09 | |
| BRID | Bridgford Foods | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.64 | (3.03) | 8.68 | |
| LWAY | Lifeway Foods | 1.22 | 10 per month | 3.38 | 0.11 | 10.47 | (4.83) | 35.62 |
Nu Skin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine NUS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for NUS using various technical indicators. When you analyze NUS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nu Skin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nu Skin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nu Skin Enterprises, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nu Skin based on analysis of Nu Skin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nu Skin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nu Skin's related companies. | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0365 | 0.0804 | 0.0844 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.95 | 0.49 | 0.47 |
Story Coverage note for Nu Skin
The number of cover stories for Nu Skin depends on current market conditions and Nu Skin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nu Skin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nu Skin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nu Skin Short Properties
Nu Skin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nu Skin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nu Skin Enterprises often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nu Skin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Skin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 267.8 M |
Check out Nu Skin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for NUS Stock analysis
When running Nu Skin's price analysis, check to measure Nu Skin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Skin is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Skin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Skin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Skin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Skin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Nu Skin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nu Skin. If investors know NUS will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nu Skin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | Dividend Share 1.56 | Earnings Share 0.17 | Revenue Per Share 39.612 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Nu Skin Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of NUS that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nu Skin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nu Skin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nu Skin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nu Skin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nu Skin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nu Skin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nu Skin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.