Correlation Between Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Northwest Bancshares with a short position of ESSA Bancorp. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp.

Diversification Opportunities for Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

0.88
  Correlation Coefficient

Very poor diversification

The 3 months correlation between Northwest and ESSA is 0.88. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on ESSA Bancorp and Northwest Bancshares is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Northwest Bancshares are associated (or correlated) with ESSA Bancorp. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of ESSA Bancorp has no effect on the direction of Northwest Bancshares i.e., Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

Given the investment horizon of 90 days Northwest Bancshares is expected to under-perform the ESSA Bancorp. But the stock apears to be less risky and, when comparing its historical volatility, Northwest Bancshares is 1.73 times less risky than ESSA Bancorp. The stock trades about -0.05 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The ESSA Bancorp is currently generating about -0.02 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  1,705  in ESSA Bancorp on January 19, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (40.00) from holding ESSA Bancorp or give up 2.35% of portfolio value over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthStrong
Accuracy100.0%
ValuesDaily Returns

Northwest Bancshares  vs.  ESSA Bancorp

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Northwest Bancshares 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Northwest Bancshares has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's fundamental drivers remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders.
ESSA Bancorp 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days ESSA Bancorp has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest unsteady performance, the Stock's basic indicators remain strong and the current disturbance on Wall Street may also be a sign of long term gains for the company investors.

Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp

The main advantage of trading using opposite Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Northwest Bancshares position performs unexpectedly, ESSA Bancorp can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in ESSA Bancorp will offset losses from the drop in ESSA Bancorp's long position.
The idea behind Northwest Bancshares and ESSA Bancorp pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.

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