One Gas Stock Price Prediction
| OGS Stock | USD 62.29 0.84 1.37% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
One Gas stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of One Gas shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of One Gas' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of One Gas and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from One Gas' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with One Gas, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting One Gas' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.034 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.87 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.14 | Wall Street Target Price 62.36 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of One Gas based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The One stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on One Gas over a specific investment horizon. Using One Gas hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of One Gas from the perspective of One Gas response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards One Gas using One Gas' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards One using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of One Gas' stock price.
One Gas Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in One Gas' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards One. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of One Gas stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long One Gas may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about One Gas and may potentially protect profits, hedge One Gas with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.5902 | Short Percent 0.0842 | Short Ratio 8.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.7 M | 50 Day MA 61.6254 |
One Gas Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to One Gas' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in One. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding One can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around One Gas. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of One Gas' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about One Gas.
One Gas Implied Volatility | 117.24 |
One Gas' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of One Gas stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if One Gas' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that One Gas stock will not fluctuate a lot when One Gas' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in One Gas. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in One Gas to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying One because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
One Gas after-hype prediction price | USD 61.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current One contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that One Gas will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 7.33% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With One Gas trading at USD 62.29, that is roughly USD 4.56 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating One Gas' daily price movement you should consider acquiring One Gas options at the current volatility level of 117.24%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
One |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of One Gas' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
One Gas After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of One Gas at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in One Gas or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of One Gas, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
One Gas Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting One Gas' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on One Gas' historical news coverage. One Gas' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.00 and 62.92, respectively. We have considered One Gas' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
One Gas is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of One Gas is based on 3 months time horizon.
One Gas Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as One Gas is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading One Gas backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with One Gas, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 1.46 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
62.29 | 61.46 | 0.02 |
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One Gas Hype Timeline
On the 18th of April 2024 One Gas is traded for 62.29. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. One is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 61.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on One Gas is about 2920.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 62.29. The company reported the last year's revenue of 2.37 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 231.23 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 646.65 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out One Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.One Gas Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to One Gas' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict One Gas' future price movements. Getting to know how One Gas' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how One Gas may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NWN | Northwest Natural Gas | 0.10 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.29 | (2.70) | 17.15 | |
| CPK | Chesapeake Utilities | (1.41) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.00 | (2.57) | 7.29 | |
| NIMC | NiSource Unit | 1.30 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 1.66 | (1.54) | 6.93 | |
| UGIC | UGI Corp Unit | 1.42 | 1 per month | 1.87 | 0 | 3.03 | (3.27) | 15.28 | |
| NJR | NewJersey Resources | (0.05) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.88 | (1.99) | 7.11 | |
| RGCO | RGC Resources | 0.12 | 10 per month | 2.48 | (0) | 4.08 | (4.38) | 11.05 | |
| ATO | Atmos Energy | (1.83) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.73 | (1.61) | 4.71 |
One Gas Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine One price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for One using various technical indicators. When you analyze One charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About One Gas Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of One Gas stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as One Gas, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of One Gas based on analysis of One Gas hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to One Gas's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to One Gas's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0298 | 0.0326 | 0.0407 | 0.0369 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.3 | 1.59 | 1.49 | 1.46 |
Story Coverage note for One Gas
The number of cover stories for One Gas depends on current market conditions and One Gas' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that One Gas is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about One Gas' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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One Gas Short Properties
One Gas' future price predictability will typically decrease when One Gas' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of One Gas often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential One Gas' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. One Gas' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 55.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.4 M |
Check out One Gas Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy One Stock please use our How to Invest in One Gas guide.Note that the One Gas information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other One Gas' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Flow Index module to determine momentum by analyzing Money Flow Index and other technical indicators.
Complementary Tools for One Stock analysis
When running One Gas' price analysis, check to measure One Gas' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy One Gas is operating at the current time. Most of One Gas' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of One Gas' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move One Gas' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of One Gas to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is One Gas' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of One Gas. If investors know One will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about One Gas listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.034 | Dividend Share 2.6 | Earnings Share 4.14 | Revenue Per Share 42.662 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.26) |
The market value of One Gas is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of One that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of One Gas' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is One Gas' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because One Gas' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect One Gas' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between One Gas' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if One Gas is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, One Gas' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.