Oil States International Stock Price Prediction
| OIS Stock | USD 5.43 0.13 2.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
59
Oversold | Overbought |
Oil States International stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Oil States shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Oil States' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Oil States and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Oil States' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Oil States International, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Oil States' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.017 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.29 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.53 | Wall Street Target Price 8.7 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Oil States based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Oil stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Oil States over a specific investment horizon. Using Oil States hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Oil States International from the perspective of Oil States response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Oil States using Oil States' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Oil using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Oil States' stock price.
Oil States Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Oil States' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Oil States International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Oil States' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Oil States stock will not fluctuate a lot when Oil States' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Oil States. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Oil States to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Oil because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Oil States after-hype prediction price | USD 5.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Oil |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Oil States' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Oil States After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Oil States at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Oil States or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Oil States, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Oil States Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Oil States' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Oil States' historical news coverage. Oil States' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.82 and 8.02, respectively. We have considered Oil States' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Oil States is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Oil States International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Oil States Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Oil States is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Oil States backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Oil States, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 2.61 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 9 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.43 | 5.42 | 0.18 |
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Oil States Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of April Oil States International is traded for 5.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Oil is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 5.42. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.18%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Oil States is about 1864.29%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.46. About 93.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.53. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Oil States International last dividend was issued on the 29th of October 2010. The entity had 175:100 split on the 2nd of June 2014. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Oil States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Oil States Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Oil States' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Oil States' future price movements. Getting to know how Oil States' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Oil States may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XPRO | Expro Group Holdings | 0.38 | 9 per month | 1.90 | 0.08 | 3.33 | (3.07) | 10.56 | |
| MRC | MRC Global | (0.25) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.07 | 2.38 | (2.05) | 16.54 | |
| DNOW | Now Inc | 0.29 | 12 per month | 1.26 | 0.20 | 2.94 | (2.36) | 22.13 |
Oil States Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Oil price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Oil using various technical indicators. When you analyze Oil charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Oil States Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Oil States stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Oil States International, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Oil States based on analysis of Oil States hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Oil States's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Oil States's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0493 | 0.0394 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.54 | 0.78 |
Story Coverage note for Oil States
The number of cover stories for Oil States depends on current market conditions and Oil States' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Oil States is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Oil States' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Oil States Short Properties
Oil States' future price predictability will typically decrease when Oil States' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Oil States International often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Oil States' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Oil States' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 63.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 47.1 M |
Check out Oil States Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Oil Stock analysis
When running Oil States' price analysis, check to measure Oil States' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oil States is operating at the current time. Most of Oil States' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oil States' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oil States' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oil States to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Oil States' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Oil States. If investors know Oil will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Oil States listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.017 | Earnings Share 0.2 | Revenue Per Share 12.479 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 | Return On Assets 0.0133 |
The market value of Oil States International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Oil that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Oil States' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Oil States' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Oil States' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Oil States' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Oil States' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Oil States is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Oil States' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.