Correlation Between Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Aura Minerals with a short position of NovaGold Resources. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources.

Diversification Opportunities for Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources

0.56
  Correlation Coefficient

Very weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Aura and NovaGold is 0.56. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on NovaGold Resources and Aura Minerals is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Aura Minerals are associated (or correlated) with NovaGold Resources. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of NovaGold Resources has no effect on the direction of Aura Minerals i.e., Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources

Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Aura Minerals is expected to generate 1.13 times less return on investment than NovaGold Resources. But when comparing it to its historical volatility, Aura Minerals is 1.72 times less risky than NovaGold Resources. It trades about 0.24 of its potential returns per unit of risk. NovaGold Resources is currently generating about 0.16 of returns per unit of risk over similar time horizon. If you would invest  377.00  in NovaGold Resources on January 20, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  47.00  from holding NovaGold Resources or generate 12.47% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthWeak
Accuracy95.45%
ValuesDaily Returns

Aura Minerals  vs.  NovaGold Resources

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Aura Minerals 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

15 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Good
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Aura Minerals are ranked lower than 15 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Aura Minerals displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point.
NovaGold Resources 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days NovaGold Resources has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, NovaGold Resources is not utilizing all of its potentials. The latest stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.

Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources

The main advantage of trading using opposite Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Aura Minerals position performs unexpectedly, NovaGold Resources can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in NovaGold Resources will offset losses from the drop in NovaGold Resources' long position.
The idea behind Aura Minerals and NovaGold Resources pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Breakdown module to analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes.

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