Peoples United Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

PBCT -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Peoples United Financial which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Peoples United hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Peoples United Financial from the prospective of Peoples United response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Peoples United over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Peoples United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Peoples United After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Peoples United Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
16.49
December 12, 2019
16.49
After-hype Price
20.48
Upside
Peoples United is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Peoples United Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.

Peoples United Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03  1.33  0.00   0.00  10 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.4916.490.00 
2,217  

Peoples United Hype Timeline

Peoples United Financial is at this time traded for16.49. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Peoples United Financial is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2216.67%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Peoples United is about 10230.77%%. The volatility of related hype on Peoples United is about 10230.77% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.49. About 76.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Peoples United Financial has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.89. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-10-30. The firm had 21:10 split on 2007-04-16. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally take a look at Peoples United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Peoples United Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
KB Financial Group 0.27 8 per month 1.20  0.11  2.07 (2.01)  5.96 
Prosperity Bancshares(0.34) 9 per month 1.19 (0.0177)  1.94 (1.92)  7.05 
Axos Financial(1.02) 10 per month 3.14 (0.0059)  3.06 (3.64)  12.69 
Deutsche Bank AG(0.04) 10 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.81 (3.33)  12.40 
EAGLE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC 0.00 9 per month 1.14 (0.0046)  1.68 (2.22)  5.46 
DNB Financial Corp 0.66 7 per month 1.04  0.0057  2.02 (1.80)  6.72 
Enterprise Financial Services C(0.12) 8 per month 0.63  0.11  1.83 (1.39)  6.30 
Eagle Bancorp Montana(0.08) 7 per month 0.46  0.30  2.46 (1.84)  5.70 
Enterprise Bancorp 0.49 10 per month 1.59  0.05  3.10 (3.20)  8.04 
Meridian Bancorp 0.05 8 per month 0.85  0.09  1.99 (1.70)  8.09 

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Additionally take a look at Peoples United Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
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