Progressive Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

PGR -- USA Stock  

USD 75.78  0.23  0.30%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Progressive Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Progressive hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Progressive Corporation from the prospective of Progressive response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Progressive over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Progressive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Progressive After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Progressive Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 22, 2019
Current Value
After-hype Price
Progressive is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Progressive is based on 3 months time horizon.

Progressive Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07% 1.56% 0.02%  0.06% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Progressive Hype Timeline

On 22 of September Progressive is traded for 75.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.06. Progressive Corporation is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 75.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 557.14%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.03% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Progressive is about 171.61% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 75.72. The company reported last year revenue of 35.26B. Total Income to common stockholders was 3.22B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.46B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally take a look at Progressive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Progressive Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
EMC Insurance Group(0.04) 9 per month 0.12 (0.0364)  0.42 (0.33)  1.39 
Loews Corporation 0.30 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.67 (2.05)  6.64 
Axis Capital Holdings Limited 0.79 7 per month 0.94  0.1  1.95 (1.89)  5.87 
Allstate Corporation(0.62) 6 per month 1.28  0.0474  1.56 (2.35)  8.10 
CNA Financial Corporation(0.03) 5 per month 1.16  0.0441  2.13 (1.68)  6.16 
Chubb Limited 0.48 7 per month 1.14  0.06  1.46 (1.64)  7.16 
FAIRFAX FINANCIAL HLDGS LTD(10.09) 10 per month 0.00 (0.20)  1.42 (2.17)  5.44 
FedNat Holding Company 0.28 7 per month 3.19 (0.0043)  4.14 (5.56)  15.65 
American Financial Group(0.15) 8 per month 1.10  0.0402  1.47 (1.40)  6.15 
Atlas Financial Holdings(0.0103) 7 per month 0.00 (0.18)  8.42 (9.84)  29.75 
Additionally take a look at Progressive Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.