Parker Hannifin Stock Price Prediction
| PH Stock | USD 546.35 4.05 0.74% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Parker Hannifin stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Parker Hannifin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Parker Hannifin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Parker Hannifin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Parker Hannifin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Parker Hannifin, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Parker Hannifin's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.72 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 5.96 | EPS Estimate Current Year 24.43 | EPS Estimate Next Year 26.39 | Wall Street Target Price 587.13 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Parker Hannifin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Parker stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Parker Hannifin over a specific investment horizon. Using Parker Hannifin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Parker Hannifin from the perspective of Parker Hannifin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Parker Hannifin using Parker Hannifin's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Parker using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Parker Hannifin's stock price.
Parker Hannifin Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Parker Hannifin's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Parker. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Parker Hannifin stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Parker Hannifin may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Parker Hannifin and may potentially protect profits, hedge Parker Hannifin with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 451.8039 | Short Percent 0.008 | Short Ratio 1.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 1 M | 50 Day MA 540.6282 |
Parker Hannifin Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Parker Hannifin's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Parker. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Parker can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Parker Hannifin. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Parker Hannifin's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Parker Hannifin.
Parker Hannifin Implied Volatility | 31.67 |
Parker Hannifin's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Parker Hannifin stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Parker Hannifin's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Parker Hannifin stock will not fluctuate a lot when Parker Hannifin's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Parker Hannifin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Parker Hannifin to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Parker because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Parker Hannifin after-hype prediction price | USD 549.46 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Parker contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Parker Hannifin will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 1.98% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Parker Hannifin trading at USD 546.35, that is roughly USD 10.81 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Parker Hannifin's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Parker Hannifin options at the current volatility level of 31.67%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Parker |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Parker Hannifin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Parker Hannifin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Parker Hannifin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Parker Hannifin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Parker Hannifin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Parker Hannifin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Parker Hannifin's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Parker Hannifin's historical news coverage. Parker Hannifin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 491.72 and 550.85, respectively. We have considered Parker Hannifin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Parker Hannifin is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Parker Hannifin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Parker Hannifin Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Parker Hannifin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Parker Hannifin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Parker Hannifin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 1.40 | 3.11 | 0.39 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
546.35 | 549.46 | 0.57 |
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Parker Hannifin Hype Timeline
As of April 25, 2024 Parker Hannifin is listed for 546.35. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 3.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.39. Parker is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 549.46 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 11.25%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.57%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Parker Hannifin is about 89.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 545.96. The company generated the yearly revenue of 19.07 B. Reported Net Income was 2.08 B with gross profit of 6.57 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Parker Hannifin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Parker Hannifin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Parker Hannifin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Parker Hannifin's future price movements. Getting to know how Parker Hannifin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Parker Hannifin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ITW | Illinois Tool Works | (2.65) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 1.07 | (1.62) | 3.43 | |
| PNR | Pentair PLC | 0.54 | 10 per month | 0.92 | 0.05 | 2.23 | (1.59) | 4.74 | |
| EMR | Emerson Electric | (0.38) | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.08 | 1.50 | (1.46) | 12.09 | |
| AOS | Smith AO | 0.15 | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.03 | 2.42 | (1.85) | 5.02 | |
| DOV | Dover | (1.23) | 9 per month | 0.64 | 0.13 | 1.68 | (1.21) | 6.50 | |
| ETN | Eaton PLC | (8.72) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.19 | 2.26 | (1.64) | 11.18 | |
| GGG | Graco Inc | (1.84) | 10 per month | 0.75 | (0.01) | 1.50 | (1.35) | 3.78 | |
| FLS | Flowserve | 0.33 | 13 per month | 0.81 | 0.11 | 2.08 | (1.59) | 4.40 | |
| IEX | IDEX Corporation | (2.04) | 11 per month | 0.74 | 0.08 | 1.53 | (1.29) | 6.25 | |
| CMI | Cummins | 0.21 | 11 per month | 0.85 | 0.19 | 2.34 | (1.74) | 6.97 |
Parker Hannifin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Parker price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Parker using various technical indicators. When you analyze Parker charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Parker Hannifin Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Parker Hannifin stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Parker Hannifin, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Parker Hannifin based on analysis of Parker Hannifin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Parker Hannifin's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Parker Hannifin's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.018 | 0.0141 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.99 | 2.63 |
Story Coverage note for Parker Hannifin
The number of cover stories for Parker Hannifin depends on current market conditions and Parker Hannifin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Parker Hannifin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Parker Hannifin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Parker Hannifin Short Properties
Parker Hannifin's future price predictability will typically decrease when Parker Hannifin's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Parker Hannifin often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Parker Hannifin's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Parker Hannifin's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 129.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 483.6 M |
Check out Parker Hannifin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Parker Stock please use our How to Invest in Parker Hannifin guide.Note that the Parker Hannifin information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Parker Hannifin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Parker Stock analysis
When running Parker Hannifin's price analysis, check to measure Parker Hannifin's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Parker Hannifin is operating at the current time. Most of Parker Hannifin's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Parker Hannifin's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Parker Hannifin's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Parker Hannifin to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Parker Hannifin's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Parker Hannifin. If investors know Parker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Parker Hannifin listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.72 | Dividend Share 5.77 | Earnings Share 20.25 | Revenue Per Share 154.399 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.031 |
The market value of Parker Hannifin is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Parker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Parker Hannifin's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Parker Hannifin's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Parker Hannifin's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Parker Hannifin's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Parker Hannifin's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Parker Hannifin is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Parker Hannifin's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.