Phoenix Holdings (Israel) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

PHOE -- Israel Stock  

ILS 2,139  21.00  0.97%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Phoenix Holdings Ltd which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Phoenix Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Phoenix Holdings Ltd from the prospective of Phoenix Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Phoenix Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Phoenix Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Phoenix Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Phoenix Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 13, 2018
2,139
Current Value
2,139
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
2,145
Upside
Phoenix Holdings is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Phoenix Holdings is based on 2 months time horizon.

Phoenix Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 1.83% 0.44%  0.49% 5 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2,1392,1390.02%
16.64% 

Phoenix Holdings Hype Timeline

The Phoenix Holdings Ltd is at this time traded for 2,139on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.44 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.49. The Phoenix Holdings Ltd is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 2139.44. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 16.64%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Phoenix Holdings is about 15.09% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2139.49. The company reported revenue of 14.66B. Net Income was 567.55M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.33B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Additionally take a look at Phoenix Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Phoenix Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Delek Group Ltd 90.00 7 per month 1.41  0.18  3.69 (2.53)  7.83 
Harel Insurance Investments Financial Services Ltd 2.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.80 (2.61)  6.80 
The Phoenix Holdings Ltd 11.00 5 per month 1.76  0.08  2.38 (3.14)  7.46 
Migdal Insurance and Financial Holdings Ltd 12.00 5 per month 0.00  0.0034  3.42 (4.08)  10.66 
I D I Insurance Company Ltd(40.00) 3 per month 0.00 (0.12)  0.99 (1.97)  8.02 
Menora Mivtachim Holdings Ltd 39.00 5 per month 1.47  0.06  3.99 (2.19)  10.74 
Direct Insurance Financial Investments Ltd(44.00) 4 per month 0.54  0.13  1.32 (0.93)  7.19 
Ayalon Holdings Ltd 27.00 2 per month 1.03  0.07  1.63 (2.02)  7.51 

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Additionally take a look at Phoenix Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
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