PICO Holdings Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

PICO -- USA Stock  

USD 10.99  0.12  1.10%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with PICO Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With PICO Holdings hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of PICO Holdings from the prospective of PICO Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on PICO Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at PICO Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

PICO Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

PICO Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
10.99
December 12, 2019
10.81
After-hype Price
14.02
Upside
PICO Holdings is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of PICO Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

PICO Holdings Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.07  0.00   0.00  11 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.9910.810.00 
2,675  

PICO Holdings Hype Timeline

PICO Holdings is at this time traded for10.99. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. PICO Holdings is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2675.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to PICO Holdings is about 5350.0%%. The volatility of related hype on PICO Holdings is about 5350.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.99. About 70.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.2. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. PICO Holdings has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 275.0. The entity last dividend was issued on 2017-11-21. The firm had 1:5 split on 1998-12-17. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 11 days.
Additionally take a look at PICO Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

PICO Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
American Water Works Company I 0.98 8 per month 0.93 (0.06)  1.44 (1.57)  4.73 
American States Water Company 0.25 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.37 (1.80)  5.10 
California Water Service Group 0.28 10 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.65 (2.05)  6.33 
Global Water Resources(0.01) 9 per month 2.21  0.0408  4.45 (3.64)  12.24 
Artesian Resources Corporation(1.04) 8 per month 0.91 (0.0013)  1.62 (1.54)  5.55 
Middlesex Water Company(0.42) 10 per month 1.75  0.05  2.35 (1.83)  10.48 
Pure Cycle Corporation 0.15 7 per month 1.46  0.12  2.77 (2.84)  8.69 
PICO Holdings 0.04 11 per month 0.90  0.0471  1.91 (1.26)  5.58 
Cadiz 0.09 9 per month 0.00 (0.14)  1.46 (2.00)  7.50 
Consolidated Water Co Ltd(0.52) 9 per month 1.67  0.09  2.81 (1.97)  10.40 
Additionally take a look at PICO Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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