Pioneer Natural Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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PXD -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: February 19, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pioneer Natural Resources Compa which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Pioneer Natural hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Pioneer Natural Resources Compa from the prospective of Pioneer Natural response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pioneer Natural over a specific investment horizon. Please also check Pioneer Natural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Pioneer Natural After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Pioneer Natural Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
146.99
January 19, 2020
140.10
Downside
146.49
After-hype Price
152.88
Upside
Pioneer Natural is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pioneer Natural Reso is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pioneer Natural Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.30  2.13  0.50   0.05  7 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
146.99146.490.34 
129.09  

Pioneer Natural Hype Timeline

On the 19th of January Pioneer Natural Reso is traded for 146.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.5 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.05. Pioneer Natural Resources Compa is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 146.49. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 129.09%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.34% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Pioneer Natural is about 1322.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 146.94. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Pioneer Natural was at this time reported as 43.38. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. Pioneer Natural Reso last dividend was issued on 2019-12-30. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Please also check Pioneer Natural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pioneer Natural Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Newfield Exploration Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.17)  4.45 (5.05)  19.21 
Range Resources Corporation(0.05) 10 per month 4.86  0.0336  10.12 (9.07)  22.06 
Western Gas Equity Partners LP Representing Limited Partner Interests 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Western Midstream Partners LP(0.15) 8 per month 0.00 (0.15)  3.83 (4.25)  9.79 
QEP Resources 0.02 8 per month 5.03  0.08  6.96 (7.74)  20.88 
Anadarko Petroleum Corporation 0.17 1 per month 0.00  0.12  1.09 (0.74)  29,820 
Whiting Petroleum Corporation 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.0435)  11.59 (8.70)  23.99 
Southwestern Energy Company 0.01 8 per month 0.00 (0.0486)  6.53 (6.67)  17.38 
SM Energy Company 0.01 10 per month 2.98  0.11  6.89 (5.14)  20.08 
Pioneer Natural Resources Compa(1.65) 7 per month 1.71  0.0357  4.03 (3.30)  10.03 

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Please also check Pioneer Natural Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Market Hitters module to find equities that experience drastic asymmetry in trading patters, price, volume, or investment outlook..
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