Papa Johns Price Prediction

Papa Johns International -- USA Stock  

USD 61.57  0.38  0.62%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Papa Johns headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Papa Johns International brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Papa Johns hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Papa Johns International from the prospective of Papa Johns response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Papa Johns over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Papa Johns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Papa Johns After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Papa Johns Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

April 20, 2018
61.57
Current Value
61.79
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
66.59
Upside
Papa Johns is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Papa Johns Internati is based on 2 months time horizon.

Papa Johns Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.18% 1.60% 0.67%  1,108% 2 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
61.5761.790.98%
42.78% 

Papa Johns Hype Timeline

Papa Johns International is at this time traded for61.57. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.67 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1107.93. Papa Johns International is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 61.79. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 42.78%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.98% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.18%. The volatility of related hype on Papa Johns is about 0.03% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1169.5. The company reported previous year revenue of 1.78 B. Net Income was 103.29 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 354.54 M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Additionally take a look at Papa Johns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Papa Johns Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hyatt Hotels Corporation 1.98 2 per month 0.00 (0.0063)  1.66 (2.40)  5.68 
Biglari Holdings(1.59) 3 per month 1.32  0.11  3.37 (2.40)  7.96 
La Quinta Holdings(0.10) 3 per month 0.98  0.0949  1.40 (1.40)  5.26 
Park Hotels Resorts 0.24 3 per month 1.57  0.0958  2.52 (1.86)  7.59 
Ruby Tuesday 61,552 1 per month 0.00  0.39  2,644,076 (100.00)  2,710,946 
Dunkin Brands Group(0.13) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0511)  1.56 (2.36)  5.36 
Diamond Resorts International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Wingstop 0.23 2 per month 1.93  0.12  3.86 (3.01)  8.99 
Wynn Resorts Limited(0.89) 3 per month 1.32  0.21  3.79 (2.44)  9.68 
Flanigans Enterprises(0.15) 2 per month 1.95  0.078  3.52 (2.60)  18.15 

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Additionally take a look at Papa Johns Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Commodity Channel Index module to use commodity channel index to analyze current equity momentum.