American Funds Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

RERAX -- USA Fund  

USD 52.90  0.51  0.95%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds EuroPacific Gr which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Funds hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Funds EuroPacific Gr from the prospective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Funds over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
52.90
December 14, 2019
52.92
After-hype Price
54.81
Upside
American Funds is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds EuroP is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.10  0.63  0.02   0.01  10 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.9052.920.04 
370.59  

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds EuroP is at this time traded for52.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. American Funds EuroPacific Gr is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 52.92. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 370.59%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.04% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 529.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 52.91. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Europacific Growth Fund Class 529-E Shares 0.00 0 per month 0.56  0.07  1.05 (1.44)  4.49 
EuroPacific Growth Fund Cl R 6 0.00 0 per month 0.53  0.08  1.00 (0.88)  2.75 
American Funds EuroPacific Gr 0.56 7 per month 0.65  0.06  1.05 (0.82)  3.87 
EuroPacific Growth Fund Class 0.01 9 per month 0.42  0.08  0.99 (0.78)  3.06 
American Funds EuroPacific Gr 0.00 0 per month 0.42  0.08  0.99 (0.83)  2.71 
EuroPacific Growth Fund Class 0.02 9 per month 0.42  0.08  0.98 (0.80)  2.10 
American Funds EuroPacific Gr 0.58 7 per month 0.82  0.06  1.06 (1.18)  4.74 
American Funds EuroPacific Grow 0.00 0 per month 0.54  0.07  0.99 (0.81)  2.78 
EuroPacific Growth Fund Class 0.00 0 per month 0.51  0.08  0.99 (0.77)  2.75 
Europacific Growth Fund Class 529-F-1 Shs 0.02 9 per month 0.34  0.08  1.02 (0.78)  2.05 
Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
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