Rex Energy Price Prediction

Rex Energy Corporation -- USA Stock  

USD 1.64  0.17  11.56%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Rex Energy headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rex Energy Corporation brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Rex Energy hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Rex Energy Corporation from the prospective of Rex Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Rex Energy over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Rex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Rex Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
January 23, 2018
1.64
Current Value
Downside upside
1.64
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
50.12
Upside
Upside upside
Rex Energy is abnormally risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rex Energy is based on 1 month time horizon.

Rex Energy Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 1.9% 16.16% 0.00%  0.12% 0 Events / Month1 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.641.640.00%
0.00% 

Rex Energy Hype Timeline

Rex Energy Corporation is at this time traded for1.64. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. Rex Energy Corporation is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 1.9%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Rex Energy is about 26205.41%%. The volatility of related hype on Rex Energy is about 26205.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.76. About 21.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded loss per share of 12.47. Rex Energy Corporation had not issued any dividends in recent years. This company had a split on 2017-05-15. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be within a week.
Additionally take a look at Rex Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Rex Energy Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Antero Resources Corporation(0.65) 2 per month 1.32  0.12 (2.23)  4.11 (2.91)  7.16 
BP plc(0.06) 1 per month 1.04 (0.0066) (0.79)  1.78 (1.17)  5.08 
CJ Energy Services Inc 0.01 1 per month 1.06  0.0163 (1.75)  3.48 (2.28)  6.34 
Delek US Holdings Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.21 (1.68)  3 (1.59)  5.86 
Diamond Offshore Drilling Inc 0.17 1 per month 1.84  0.13 (2.05)  4.14 (2.48)  8.42 
Ecopetrol S A 0.9 1 per month 0.00  0.57  0.00  5.07 (1.92)  7.63