American Mutual Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

RMFCX -- USA Fund  

USD 43.54  0.02  0.046%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Mutual Fund Class R 3 which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Mutual hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Mutual Fund Class R 3 from the prospective of American Mutual response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Mutual over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at American Mutual Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Mutual After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Mutual Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
43.54
December 12, 2019
43.54
After-hype Price
45.22
Upside
American Mutual is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Mutual Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Mutual Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.05  0.56  0.00   0.01  8 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
43.5443.540.00 
1,120  

American Mutual Hype Timeline

American Mutual Fund is at this time traded for43.54. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American Mutual Fund Class R 3 is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 1120.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.05%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Mutual is about 495.58%%. The volatility of related hype on American Mutual is about 495.58% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 43.55. The company last dividend was issued on Septembertember 13, 2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally take a look at American Mutual Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Mutual Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Index Trust Vanguard V 0.00 0 per month 0.84  0.0248  1.09 (1.17)  4.73 
American Mutual Fund Class R 4 0.05 8 per month 0.59 (0.0119)  0.69 (0.67)  3.33 
American Mutual Fund Class C S 0.05 8 per month 0.68 (0.009)  0.93 (0.87)  3.44 
Vanguard Index Trust Value Inde(0.14) 1 per month 0.69  0.0276  1.09 (1.13)  3.89 
Vanguard Value Index Fd Admiral 0.47 1 per month 0.82  0.025  1.09 (1.13)  4.62 
American Mutual Fund Class F 2(0.14) 8 per month 0.55 (0.0129)  0.70 (0.77)  2.92 
American Mutual Fund Class 529 0.05 8 per month 0.69 (0.0092)  0.71 (0.78)  3.90 
American Mutual Fund Class F 1 0.05 8 per month 0.74 (0.0081)  0.79 (0.80)  3.90 
Dodge Cox Stock Fund 0.69 1 per month 0.86  0.0173  1.30 (1.33)  4.19 
American Mutual Fund Class R2 0.05 8 per month 0.64 (0.0095)  0.97 (1.16)  3.92 
Additionally take a look at American Mutual Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and etfs to find investment opportunities.
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