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American Funds Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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RWIFX -- USA Fund  

USD 52.86  0.14  0.26%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds Capital World which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using American Funds hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of American Funds Capital World from the prospective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Funds over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
52.86
February 21, 2020
52.86
After-hype Price
55.08
Upside
American Funds is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  0.74  0.00   0.00  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
52.8652.860.00 
0.00  

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds Capital is at this time traded for52.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American Funds Capital World is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Funds is about 2846.15%%. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 2846.15% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 52.86. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.97. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. American Funds Capital last dividend was issued on 12/17/2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Artisan Global Value Fund Inves 0.00 0 per month 0.70 (0.024)  1.30 (1.44)  4.13 
T Rowe Price Global Stock Fund(0.56) 1 per month 0.55  0.13  1.15 (1.29)  3.30 
T Rowe Price Global Stock Fund 0.24 2 per month 0.55  0.13  1.19 (1.18)  3.46 
Global Managed Volatility Fund 0.06 1 per month 1.33 (0.08)  0.63 (1.25)  7.49 
Janus Henderson Global Select F 0.00 0 per month 1.24 (0.0172)  1.04 (1.77)  7.26 
Thrivent Large Cap Stock Fund C 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.11)  0.97 (1.65)  10.32 
Sands Capital Global Growth Fun 0.00 0 per month 1.12  0.0229  1.29 (1.11)  6.87 
VY Oppenheimer Global Portfolio 0.00 0 per month 0.69  0.0365  1.24 (1.11)  3.64 
BNY Mellon Global Stock Fund Cl 0.00 0 per month 1.01 (0.0433)  1.11 (0.94)  5.61 
BNY Mellon Global Stock Fund Cl 0.00 0 per month 0.92 (0.0434)  1.11 (0.88)  5.34 
Additionally take a look at American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
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