Shawcor Ltd Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SAWLF -- USA Stock  

USD 10.58  0.91  7.92%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Shawcor Ltd which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Shawcor Ltd hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Shawcor Ltd from the prospective of Shawcor Ltd response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Shawcor Ltd over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Shawcor Ltd Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Shawcor Ltd After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Shawcor Ltd Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 14, 2019
10.58
Current Value
10.55
After-hype Price
20.42
Upside
Shawcor Ltd is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Shawcor Ltd is based on 3 months time horizon.

Shawcor Ltd Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31  3.29% 0.03   0.04  5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
10.5810.550.28 
3,290

Shawcor Ltd Hype Timeline

Shawcor Ltd is at this time traded for10.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Shawcor Ltd is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 10.55. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 3290.0%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.28% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Shawcor Ltd is about 2847.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 10.62. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.95. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Shawcor Ltd last dividend was issued on 2019-08-19. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Also please take a look at Shawcor Ltd Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Shawcor Ltd Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Koninklijke Vopak NV 0.00 5 per month 0.76  0.13  2.47 (1.68)  8.11 
Tenaris S A 0.22 9 per month 0.00 (0.19)  2.47 (3.23)  8.31 
Halliburton Company(0.91) 9 per month 0.00 (0.09)  4.50 (5.43)  17.44 
National Oilwell Varco(0.44) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0001)  4.85 (4.79)  19.36 
WORLEYPARSONS LTD 0.00 4 per month 0.00 (0.08)  0.00  0.00  32.62 
Schlumberger NV 0.52 10 per month 0.00 (0.12)  4.22 (4.30)  10.68 
TechnipFMC Plc 0.24 10 per month 0.00 (0.0386)  3.31 (3.83)  10.84 
Baker Hughes a GE company Class A 0.99 6 per month 0.00 (0.05)  3.34 (4.71)  11.57 
KONINKLIJKE VOPAK N V 0.42 7 per month 1.15  0.11  2.38 (2.13)  9.81 
Also please take a look at Shawcor Ltd Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolio or rebalance existing positions based on mean-variance optimization algorithm.
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