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Starbucks Stock Price Prediction

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SBUX -- USA Stock  

Earning Report: April 23, 2020  

Starbucks Revenue to Assets are fairly stable at the moment as compared to the last year. Starbucks reported Revenue to Assets of 1.02 in 2019. Total Assets Per Share is likely to grow to 19.91 in 2020, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 6.55 in 2020. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Starbucks Corporation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Additionally, take a look at Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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The Starbucks stock price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Starbucks over a specific investment horizon. Using Starbucks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starbucks Corporation from the perspective of Starbucks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Starbucks After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Starbucks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
62.45
April 1, 2020
65.89
After-hype Price
79.33
Upside
Starbucks is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starbucks is based on 3 months time horizon.

Starbucks Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42  4.45  0.16   2.89  7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
62.4565.890.23 
1,171  

Starbucks Hype Timeline

Starbucks is at this time traded for62.45. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.16 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 2.89. Starbucks Corporation is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 65.89. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1171.05%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.23% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Starbucks is about 64.63% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.34. The company reported previous year revenue of 26.51 B. Net Income was 3.6 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.49 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Additionally, take a look at Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Starbucks Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Bbq Holdings(0.12) 7 per month 0.00  0.0222  23.71 (24.50)  89.06 
Chipotle Mexican Grill 80.29 8 per month 0.00  0.0188  5.57 (9.02)  19.19 
Brinker International(3.60) 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  11.70 (18.77)  67.88 
Biglari Holdings(18.04) 4 per month 0.00 (0.10)  4.63 (7.94)  43.00 
Darden Restaurants 1.74 9 per month 0.00 (0.0471)  8.46 (15.00)  41.09 
Dine Brands Global Inc Common 3.87 10 per month 0.00 (0.06)  18.38 (17.06)  66.15 
Dominos Pizza 6.16 11 per month 3.20  0.13  6.08 (6.44)  35.17 
Flanigans Enterprises 0.06 2 per month 10.71  0.0311  5.45 (11.98)  167.95 
Dunkin Brands Group(1.32) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0029)  6.18 (7.71)  33.72 
Fiesta Restaurant Group(0.19) 6 per month 11.61  0.0433  8.56 (22.57)  265.86 

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Latest Perspective on Starbucks

Additionally, take a look at Starbucks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Backtesting module to avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios.
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