Steven Madden Stock Price Prediction
| SHOO Stock | USD 39.12 0.57 1.48% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
44
Oversold | Overbought |
Steven Madden stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Steven Madden shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Steven Madden's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Steven Madden and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Steven Madden's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Steven Madden, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Steven Madden's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.58 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.62 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.98 | Wall Street Target Price 44.9 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Steven Madden based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Steven stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Steven Madden over a specific investment horizon. Using Steven Madden hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Steven Madden from the perspective of Steven Madden response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Steven Madden using Steven Madden's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Steven using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Steven Madden's stock price.
Steven Madden Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Steven Madden's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Steven. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Steven Madden stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Steven Madden may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Steven Madden and may potentially protect profits, hedge Steven Madden with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 37.367 | Short Percent 0.0521 | Short Ratio 2.28 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.9 M | 50 Day MA 41.7936 |
Steven Madden Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Steven Madden's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Steven. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Steven can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Steven Madden. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Steven Madden's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Steven Madden.
Steven Madden Implied Volatility | 102.52 |
Steven Madden's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Steven Madden stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Steven Madden's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Steven Madden stock will not fluctuate a lot when Steven Madden's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Steven Madden. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Steven Madden to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Steven because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Steven Madden after-hype prediction price | USD 38.56 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Steven |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Steven Madden's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Steven Madden After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Steven Madden at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Steven Madden or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Steven Madden, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Steven Madden Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Steven Madden's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Steven Madden's historical news coverage. Steven Madden's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.06 and 40.06, respectively. We have considered Steven Madden's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Steven Madden is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Steven Madden is based on 3 months time horizon.
Steven Madden Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Steven Madden is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Steven Madden backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Steven Madden, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.14 | 1.50 | 0.01 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
39.12 | 38.56 | 0.03 |
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Steven Madden Hype Timeline
Steven Madden is at this time traded for 39.12. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Steven is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 38.56 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price boost on the next news is projected to be 0.03%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.14%. The volatility of related hype on Steven Madden is about 1250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.14. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 1.98 B. Net Income was 171.55 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 873.84 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Steven Madden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Steven Madden Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Steven Madden's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Steven Madden's future price movements. Getting to know how Steven Madden's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Steven Madden may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DBI | Designer Brands | 0.24 | 9 per month | 3.32 | 0 | 4.51 | (6.16) | 14.74 | |
| ADDDF | Adidas AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.25 | 0.12 | 5.47 | (2.72) | 14.91 |
Steven Madden Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Steven price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Steven using various technical indicators. When you analyze Steven charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Steven Madden Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Steven Madden stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Steven Madden, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Steven Madden based on analysis of Steven Madden hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Steven Madden's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Steven Madden's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0135 | 0.0272 | 0.0205 | 0.0108 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.95 | 1.14 | 1.55 | 2.01 |
Story Coverage note for Steven Madden
The number of cover stories for Steven Madden depends on current market conditions and Steven Madden's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Steven Madden is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Steven Madden's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Steven Madden Short Properties
Steven Madden's future price predictability will typically decrease when Steven Madden's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Steven Madden often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Steven Madden's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Steven Madden's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 74.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 219.8 M |
Check out Steven Madden Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Steven Stock, please use our How to Invest in Steven Madden guide.You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Steven Stock analysis
When running Steven Madden's price analysis, check to measure Steven Madden's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Steven Madden is operating at the current time. Most of Steven Madden's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Steven Madden's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Steven Madden's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Steven Madden to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Steven Madden's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Steven Madden. If investors know Steven will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Steven Madden listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | Dividend Share 0.84 | Earnings Share 2.3 | Revenue Per Share 27.02 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.104 |
The market value of Steven Madden is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Steven that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Steven Madden's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Steven Madden's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Steven Madden's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Steven Madden's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Steven Madden's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Steven Madden is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Steven Madden's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.