Sirius XM Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SIRI -- USA Stock  

USD 6.06  0.10  1.62%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sirius XM Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Sirius XM hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Sirius XM Holdings from the prospective of Sirius XM response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Sirius XM over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Sirius XM After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Sirius XM Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 23, 2019
6.06
Current Value
6.11
After-hype Price
9.56
Upside
Sirius XM is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sirius XM Holdings is based on 2 months time horizon.

Sirius XM Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21% 1.14% 0.02%  0.11% 9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.066.110.33%
1,140% 

Sirius XM Hype Timeline

Sirius XM Holdings is at this time traded for6.06. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. Sirius XM Holdings is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 6.11. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1140.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.33% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.21%. The volatility of related hype on Sirius XM is about 225.3% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.95. The company reported previous year revenue of 6.68B. Net Income was 1.02B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.06B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Also please take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Sirius XM Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Flex Ltd(0.02) 9 per month 1.96  0.1  3.20 (3.59)  18.17 
AirMedia Group 0.07 2 per month 0.00  0.27  1,487,636,264 (100.00)  1,487,636,364 
Quad Graphics(0.01) 8 per month 2.66  0.09  5.53 (4.67)  39.11 
Royal Gold(4.44) 8 per month 1.01  0.35  3.60 (1.84)  7.79 
Sirius XM Holdings 0.1 9 per month 1.16  0.23  1.84 (1.32)  6.90 
Dun Bradstreet Corporation 0.14 1 per month 0.00  0.48  0.42 (0.15)  1.03 
SP Global(0.44) 7 per month 1.14  0.24  1.96 (1.95)  8.86 
Weibo Corporation 0.29 6 per month 0.00 (0.0205)  3.58 (4.00)  15.91 
Sohu Limited(0.29) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  4.48 (4.21)  29.41 
Twitter(0.46) 8 per month 1.77  0.21  3.34 (2.58)  14.71 
Also please take a look at Sirius XM Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
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