Smurfit Kappa Group Stock Price Prediction
| SMFTF Stock | USD 42.79 1.04 2.49% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Smurfit Kappa Group stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Smurfit Kappa shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Smurfit Kappa's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Smurfit Kappa and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Smurfit Kappa's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Smurfit Kappa Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Smurfit Kappa based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Smurfit stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Smurfit Kappa over a specific investment horizon. Using Smurfit Kappa hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Smurfit Kappa Group from the perspective of Smurfit Kappa response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Smurfit Kappa. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Smurfit Kappa to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Smurfit because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Smurfit Kappa after-hype prediction price | USD 42.79 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Smurfit |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Smurfit Kappa's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Smurfit Kappa After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Smurfit Kappa at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Smurfit Kappa or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Smurfit Kappa, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Smurfit Kappa Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Smurfit Kappa's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Smurfit Kappa's historical news coverage. Smurfit Kappa's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 39.66 and 45.92, respectively. We have considered Smurfit Kappa's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Smurfit Kappa is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Smurfit Kappa Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Smurfit Kappa Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Smurfit Kappa is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Smurfit Kappa backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Smurfit Kappa, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.29 | 3.14 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
42.79 | 42.79 | 0.00 |
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Smurfit Kappa Hype Timeline
Smurfit Kappa Group is at this time traded for 42.79. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Smurfit is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.29%. %. The volatility of related hype on Smurfit Kappa is about 15700.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 42.80. About 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.76. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Smurfit Kappa Group last dividend was issued on the 13th of April 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Smurfit Kappa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Smurfit Kappa Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Smurfit Kappa's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. Getting to know how Smurfit Kappa's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Smurfit Kappa may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BALL | Ball Corporation | (0.16) | 10 per month | 0.78 | 0.14 | 2.24 | (1.52) | 9.22 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | (1.02) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.65 | (2.93) | 8.71 | |
| IP | International Paper | (1.10) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.12 | (2.68) | 17.45 | |
| AVY | Avery Dennison Corp | 4.18 | 12 per month | 0.81 | 0.02 | 1.28 | (1.46) | 4.43 | |
| PKG | Packaging Corp of | (2.33) | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.05 | 1.62 | (1.66) | 6.24 | |
| GEF | Greif Bros | 0.58 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 1.81 | (2.23) | 8.43 | |
| CCK | Crown Holdings | (0.54) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.27 | (2.77) | 14.73 | |
| OI | O I Glass | (0.04) | 11 per month | 2.84 | (0.01) | 3.72 | (3.74) | 20.78 | |
| SLGN | Silgan Holdings | 0.06 | 10 per month | 1.05 | 0.06 | 2.18 | (2.40) | 8.26 | |
| WRK | WestRock Co | 0.57 | 12 per month | 0.82 | 0.12 | 2.46 | (1.86) | 10.42 |
Smurfit Kappa Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Smurfit price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Smurfit using various technical indicators. When you analyze Smurfit charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Smurfit Kappa Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Smurfit Kappa stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Smurfit Kappa Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Smurfit Kappa based on analysis of Smurfit Kappa hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Smurfit Kappa's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Smurfit Kappa's related companies. Story Coverage note for Smurfit Kappa
The number of cover stories for Smurfit Kappa depends on current market conditions and Smurfit Kappa's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Smurfit Kappa is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Smurfit Kappa's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Smurfit Kappa Short Properties
Smurfit Kappa's future price predictability will typically decrease when Smurfit Kappa's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Smurfit Kappa Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Smurfit Kappa's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Smurfit Kappa's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 259 M |
Check out Smurfit Kappa Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Smurfit Pink Sheet analysis
When running Smurfit Kappa's price analysis, check to measure Smurfit Kappa's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Smurfit Kappa is operating at the current time. Most of Smurfit Kappa's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Smurfit Kappa's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Smurfit Kappa's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Smurfit Kappa to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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