Snap Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

SNAP -- USA Stock  

USD 15.98  0.18  1.11%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Snap which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Snap hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Snap from the prospective of Snap response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Snap over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Snap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Snap After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Snap Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 20, 2019
15.98
Current Value
16.04
After-hype Price
26.99
Upside
Snap is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Snap is based on 2 months time horizon.

Snap Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.31% 3.65% 0.06%  0.73% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
15.9816.040.38%
1,921% 

Snap Hype Timeline

Snap is at this time traded for15.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.73. Snap is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 16.04. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1921.05%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 0.38% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.31%. The volatility of related hype on Snap is about 155.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 16.71. The company reported previous year revenue of 1.4B. Net Loss for the year was (1.08B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 381.58M. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Also please take a look at Snap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Snap Related Hype Analysis

Also please take a look at Snap Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using aroon oscillator and other momentum ratios.
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