Satcom Systems (Israel) Price Prediction

STCM Stock  ILS 66.00  3.90  6.28%   
The value of RSI of Satcom Systems' the stock price is about 61. This usually implies that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Satcom, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

61

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Satcom Systems stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Satcom Systems shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Satcom Systems' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Satcom Systems and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Satcom Systems' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Satcom Systems, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Satcom Systems based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Satcom stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Satcom Systems over a specific investment horizon. Using Satcom Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Satcom Systems from the perspective of Satcom Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Satcom Systems. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Satcom Systems to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Satcom because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Satcom Systems after-hype prediction price

    
  ILA 66.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Satcom Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Satcom Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.0859.2072.60
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
63.0368.1573.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
59.1762.7566.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Satcom Systems. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Satcom Systems' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Satcom Systems' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Satcom Systems.

Satcom Systems After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Satcom Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Satcom Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Satcom Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Satcom Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Satcom Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Satcom Systems' historical news coverage. Satcom Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 60.88 and 71.12, respectively. We have considered Satcom Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
66.00
66.00
After-hype Price
71.12
Upside
Satcom Systems is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Satcom Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.

Satcom Systems Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Satcom Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Satcom Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Satcom Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.90 
5.17
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
66.00
66.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Satcom Systems Hype Timeline

Satcom Systems is at this time traded for 66.00on Tel Aviv Stock Exchange of Israel. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Satcom is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.9%. %. The volatility of related hype on Satcom Systems is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 66.00. About 29.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 833.33. Satcom Systems recorded a loss per share of 0.03. The entity last dividend was issued on the 8th of March 2010. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Satcom Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Satcom Systems Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Satcom Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Satcom Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Satcom Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Satcom Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Satcom Systems Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Satcom price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Satcom using various technical indicators. When you analyze Satcom charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Satcom Systems Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Satcom Systems stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Satcom Systems, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Satcom Systems based on analysis of Satcom Systems hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Satcom Systems's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Satcom Systems's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Satcom Systems

The number of cover stories for Satcom Systems depends on current market conditions and Satcom Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Satcom Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Satcom Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Satcom Systems Short Properties

Satcom Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Satcom Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Satcom Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Satcom Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Satcom Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Float55.3 M
Check out Satcom Systems Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.

Complementary Tools for Satcom Stock analysis

When running Satcom Systems' price analysis, check to measure Satcom Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Satcom Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Satcom Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Satcom Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Satcom Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Satcom Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Satcom Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Satcom Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Satcom Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.