Correlation Between Toronto Dominion and National Bank

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Can any of the company-specific risk be diversified away by investing in both Toronto Dominion and National Bank at the same time? Although using a correlation coefficient on its own may not help to predict future stock returns, this module helps to understand the diversifiable risk of combining Toronto Dominion and National Bank into the same portfolio, which is an essential part of the fundamental portfolio management process.
By analyzing existing cross correlation between Toronto Dominion Bank and National Bank Holdings, you can compare the effects of market volatilities on Toronto Dominion and National Bank and check how they will diversify away market risk if combined in the same portfolio for a given time horizon. You can also utilize pair trading strategies of matching a long position in Toronto Dominion with a short position of National Bank. Check out your portfolio center. Please also check ongoing floating volatility patterns of Toronto Dominion and National Bank.

Diversification Opportunities for Toronto Dominion and National Bank

0.33
  Correlation Coefficient

Weak diversification

The 3 months correlation between Toronto and National is 0.33. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Toronto Dominion Bank and National Bank Holdings in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed. The correlation between historical prices or returns on National Bank Holdings and Toronto Dominion is a relative statistical measure of the degree to which these equity instruments tend to move together. The correlation coefficient measures the extent to which returns on Toronto Dominion Bank are associated (or correlated) with National Bank. Values of the correlation coefficient range from -1 to +1, where. The correlation of zero (0) is possible when the price movement of National Bank Holdings has no effect on the direction of Toronto Dominion i.e., Toronto Dominion and National Bank go up and down completely randomly.

Pair Corralation between Toronto Dominion and National Bank

Assuming the 90 days horizon Toronto Dominion Bank is expected to generate 0.38 times more return on investment than National Bank. However, Toronto Dominion Bank is 2.63 times less risky than National Bank. It trades about 0.04 of its potential returns per unit of risk. National Bank Holdings is currently generating about -0.02 per unit of risk. If you would invest  7,994  in Toronto Dominion Bank on January 25, 2024 and sell it today you would earn a total of  57.00  from holding Toronto Dominion Bank or generate 0.71% return on investment over 90 days.
Time Period3 Months [change]
DirectionMoves Together 
StrengthVery Weak
Accuracy90.91%
ValuesDaily Returns

Toronto Dominion Bank  vs.  National Bank Holdings

 Performance 
       Timeline  
Toronto Dominion Bank 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Toronto Dominion Bank has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy basic indicators, Toronto Dominion is not utilizing all of its potentials. The recent stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors.
National Bank Holdings 

Risk-Adjusted Performance

0 of 100

 
Weak
 
Strong
Very Weak
Over the last 90 days National Bank Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite nearly stable basic indicators, National Bank is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disturbance, may contribute to mid-run losses for the stockholders.

Toronto Dominion and National Bank Volatility Contrast

   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  

Pair Trading with Toronto Dominion and National Bank

The main advantage of trading using opposite Toronto Dominion and National Bank positions is that it hedges away some unsystematic risk. Because of two separate transactions, even if Toronto Dominion position performs unexpectedly, National Bank can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in National Bank will offset losses from the drop in National Bank's long position.
The idea behind Toronto Dominion Bank and National Bank Holdings pairs trading is to make the combined position market-neutral, meaning the overall market's direction will not affect its win or loss (or potential downside or upside). This can be achieved by designing a pairs trade with two highly correlated stocks or equities that operate in a similar space or sector, making it possible to obtain profits through simple and relatively low-risk investment.
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Note that this page's information should be used as a complementary analysis to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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