3i Group Plc Stock Price Prediction
| TGOPF Stock | USD 34.80 0.45 1.28% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
3i Group plc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of 3i Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of 3i Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of 3i Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from 3i Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with 3i Group plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of 3i Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The TGOPF stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on 3i Group over a specific investment horizon. Using 3i Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of 3i Group plc from the perspective of 3i Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in 3i Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in 3i Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying TGOPF because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
3i Group after-hype prediction price | USD 34.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
TGOPF |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 3i Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
3i Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of 3i Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in 3i Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of 3i Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
3i Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting 3i Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on 3i Group's historical news coverage. 3i Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 32.67 and 36.93, respectively. We have considered 3i Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
3i Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of 3i Group plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
3i Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as 3i Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading 3i Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with 3i Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.28 | 2.13 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
34.80 | 34.80 | 0.00 |
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3i Group Hype Timeline
3i Group plc is at this time traded for 34.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.04. TGOPF is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.28%. %. The volatility of related hype on 3i Group is about 1433.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.76. About 57.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.9. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. 3i Group plc last dividend was issued on the 1st of December 2022. The entity had 17:20 split on the 16th of July 2007. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out 3i Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.3i Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to 3i Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict 3i Group's future price movements. Getting to know how 3i Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how 3i Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
3i Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine TGOPF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for TGOPF using various technical indicators. When you analyze TGOPF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About 3i Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of 3i Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as 3i Group plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of 3i Group based on analysis of 3i Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to 3i Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to 3i Group's related companies. Story Coverage note for 3i Group
The number of cover stories for 3i Group depends on current market conditions and 3i Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that 3i Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about 3i Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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3i Group Short Properties
3i Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when 3i Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of 3i Group plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential 3i Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 3i Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 963 M | |
| Dividends Paid | 389 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.61 | |
| Shares Float | 942.4 M |
Check out 3i Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for TGOPF Pink Sheet analysis
When running 3i Group's price analysis, check to measure 3i Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 3i Group is operating at the current time. Most of 3i Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 3i Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 3i Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 3i Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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