Target Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TGT -- USA Stock  

USD 103.49  2.83  2.66%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 25, 2019
103.49
Current Value
103.07
After-hype Price
113.48
Upside
Target is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 2 months time horizon.

Target Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.42% 3.47% 0.42%  0.10% 7 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
103.49103.070.41%
343.56% 

Target Hype Timeline

On 25 of August Target is traded for 103.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.42 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.1. Target Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 103.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 343.56%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.41% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 1404.86% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 103.39. About 86.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Target was at this time reported as 23.15. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.88. Target recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.04. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-08-20. The firm had 2:1 split on 2000-07-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Rite Aid Corporation(0.13) 8 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.81 (7.70)  31.83 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(0.53) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0375)  2.06 (3.20)  9.10 
Spectrum Brands Holdings 0.08 9 per month 0.00  0.0007  3.17 (2.97)  7.83 
Sysco Corporation(0.65) 6 per month 0.99  0.12  1.87 (1.52)  4.63 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.1) 9 per month 3.35  0.0359  5.31 (5.20)  20.22 
Target Corporation(1.01) 7 per month 1.24  0.17  2.81 (2.66)  17.20 
Sprouts Farmers Market(0.19) 8 per month 0.00  0.0207  2.88 (2.69)  10.77 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  8.71  0.00  0.00  0.06 
Barnes Noble 0.02 5 per month 0.00  0.0251  1.07 (1.64)  3.43 
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na 0.04 6 per month 2.43  0.0437  3.73 (4.06)  16.42 

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Also please take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Fund Screener module to find activelly-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
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