Target Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

<div class='logoBackup' style='background:#8A0CCF;color: white;font-size:3em;;'>TGT</div>
TGT -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: January 31, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Target Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Target hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Target Corporation from the prospective of Target response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Target over a specific investment horizon. Additionally take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Target After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Target Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
117.00
January 18, 2020
110.24
Downside
116.81
After-hype Price
123.38
Upside
Target is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Target is based on 3 months time horizon.

Target Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.07  2.19  0.19   0.01  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
117.00116.810.16 
82.02  

Target Hype Timeline

On the 18th of January 2020 Target is traded for 117.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Target Corporation is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 116.81. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 82.02%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Target is about 1531.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 116.99. About 85.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.8. Target recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.25. The entity last dividend was issued on 2020-02-18. The firm had 2:1 split on 2000-07-20. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Additionally take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Target Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na(0.15) 8 per month 2.16 (0.0447)  2.78 (3.44)  24.19 
Rite Aid Corporation 0.85 11 per month 4.68  0.09  12.20 (6.14)  63.54 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.50 (0.87)  66.11 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(0.18) 10 per month 1.58 (0.08)  2.62 (1.71)  10.92 
Sysco Corporation(0.15) 11 per month 0.62 (0.10)  1.20 (1.12)  3.57 
Spectrum Brands Holdings 0.65 7 per month 0.72  0.12  2.06 (1.94)  21.11 
Vipshop Holdings Limited 0.15 8 per month 1.38  0.21  4.45 (2.69)  19.40 
Sprouts Farmers Market 0.09 8 per month 0.00 (0.12)  2.08 (2.53)  9.09 
Target Corporation(2.67) 8 per month 1.38 (0.0274)  1.89 (1.62)  20.65 
Barnes Noble(0.02) 1 per month 0.00 (0.37)  1.05 (1.05)  3.16 
Additionally take a look at Target Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
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