Tiffany Price Prediction

Tiffany Co -- USA Stock  

USD 95.94  0.78  0.82%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Tiffany headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tiffany Co brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Tiffany hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Tiffany Co from the prospective of Tiffany response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tiffany over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Tiffany Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline
March 23, 2018
Current Value
Downside upside
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
Upside upside
Tiffany is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tiffany Co is based on 1 month time horizon.

Tiffany Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.47% 0.26%  0.25% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Tiffany Hype Timeline

On 23 of March Tiffany Co is traded for 95.94. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.26 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.25. Tiffany Co is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 96.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 131.25%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.27% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Tiffany is about 133.85% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 96.19. The company reported last year revenue of 4.17 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 370.1 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.49 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in a few days.
Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tiffany Related Hype Analysis

Short fall
At Risk
The Este Lauder Companies Inc 3.24 2 per month 1.05  0.23 (0.81)  1.60 (1.40)  4.05 
Avon Products Inc(0.09) 1 per month 2.03  0.0627 (1.45)  3.26 (3.25)  7.00 
Tapestry Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.89  0.19 (1.02)  1.41 (1.36)  3.63 
Nu Skin Enterprises Inc 2.30 2 per month 1.45  0.11 (1.08)  2.35 (1.75)  5.39 
Tiffany Co 1.12 2 per month 0.00 (0.0925)  0.00  1.67 (1.94)  7.40 
Kingold Jewelry Inc 0.0193 1 per month 0.00 (0.39)  0.00  3.91 (7.24)  10.46