Tiffany Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TIF -- USA Stock  

USD 133.67  1.33  0.99%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Tiffany headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tiffany Co brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Tiffany hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Tiffany Co from the prospective of Tiffany response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tiffany over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Tiffany After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Tiffany Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 22, 2018
133.67
Current Value
Downside
131.21
134.00
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
136.79
Upside
Tiffany is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tiffany Co is based on 1 month time horizon.

Tiffany Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27% 0.93% 0.33%  0.93% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
133.67134.000.25%
75.00% 

Tiffany Hype Timeline

On 22 of June Tiffany Co is traded for 133.67. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.33 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.93. Tiffany Co is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 134.0. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 75.0%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.25% where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Tiffany is about 27.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 134.6. The company reported last year revenue of 4.3 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 419.5 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.6 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tiffany Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
The Este Lauder Companies 2.04 7 per month 0.80  0.00  1.32 (1.25)  3.53 
Avon Products 0.03 5 per month 0.00  0.00  2.52 (4.52)  9.44 
Tapestry 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  1.16 (0.94)  3.59 
Nu Skin Enterprises 0.86 3 per month 0.00  0.00  1.56 (1.31)  3.32 
Tiffany Co 1.24 5 per month 0.38  0.00  1.78 (1.32)  3.62 
Kingold Jewelry 0.01 2 per month 0.00  0.00  1.94 (4.08)  6.97 
Coty 0.24 6 per month 1.33  0.00  2.29 (2.28)  5.86 
Alphabet 29.81 4 per month 0.23  0.00  1.84 (1.15)  4.33 
Steelcase 0.05 7 per month 3.05  0.00  2.49 (0.67)  12.99 
Catalyst Pharmaceuticals 0.01 5 per month 3.82  0.00  8.19 (5.51)  15.06 

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Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Equity Analysis module to research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and etfs to find investment opportunities.