Tiffany Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TIF -- USA Stock  

USD 85.11  0.91  1.06%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tiffany Co which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Tiffany hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Tiffany Co from the prospective of Tiffany response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tiffany over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Tiffany After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Tiffany Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 13, 2018
85.11
Current Value
85.99
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
95.32
Upside
Tiffany is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tiffany is based on 2 months time horizon.

Tiffany Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.61% 3.11% 0.88%  2.39% 8 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
85.1185.991.03%
214.48% 

Tiffany Hype Timeline

On 13 of December Tiffany Co is traded for 85.11. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.88 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -2.39. Tiffany Co is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 85.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 214.48%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 1.03% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.61%. The volatility of related hype on Tiffany is about 79.44% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 82.72. The company reported last year revenue of 4.42B. Total Income to common stockholders was 449.2M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.6B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tiffany Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Tapestry 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  1.41 (2.21)  4.24 
Tiffany Co 1.45 8 per month 0.00 (0.13)  3.87 (5.32)  16.89 
Pinnacle Foods(36.05) 6 per month 5.51  0.07  1.01 (0.29)  89.18 
Ralph Lauren Corporation 0.82 9 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.78 (6.26)  10.87 
Under Armour 0.30 9 per month 2.25  0.14  5.74 (4.80)  30.18 
YY(5.72) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0246)  7.33 (5.91)  19.44 
Viacom(0.43) 5 per month 0.00 (0.026)  3.30 (3.65)  11.83 
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.10) 8 per month 4.16  0.0379  7.28 (6.02)  26.83 
Wynn Resorts Limited 0.56 8 per month 0.00  0.0039  6.89 (6.60)  25.09 
American Lorain Corporation 0.0197 3 per month 0.00 (0.16)  4.68 (6.76)  25.34 

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Also please take a look at Tiffany Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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