Toll Brothers Valuation

TOL Stock  USD 113.16  0.26  0.23%   
At this time, the company appears to be overvalued. Toll Brothers has a current Real Value of $102.45 per share. The regular price of the company is $113.16. Our model measures the value of Toll Brothers from inspecting the company fundamentals such as Shares Outstanding of 104.17 M, operating margin of 0.16 %, and Return On Equity of 0.21 as well as reviewing its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy. In general, most investors recommend picking up undervalued stocks and discarding overvalued stocks since, at some point, asset prices and their ongoing real values will draw towards each other. Key fundamental drivers impacting Toll Brothers' valuation include:
Price Book
1.7841
Enterprise Value
13.9 B
Enterprise Value Ebitda
7.7537
Price Sales
1.2323
Forward PE
9.0662
Overvalued
Today
113.16
Please note that Toll Brothers' price fluctuation is very steady at this time. Calculation of the real value of Toll Brothers is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Toll Brothers' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Toll Brothers is useful when determining the fair value of the Toll stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Toll Brothers. Since Toll Brothers is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Toll Stock. However, Toll Brothers' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  113.16 Real  102.45 Target  92.14 Hype  112.91 Naive  109.35
The real value of Toll Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Toll Brothers Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Toll Brothers' financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Toll Brothers' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Toll Brothers' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
100.46
Downside
102.44
Real Value
124.48
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Toll Brothers helps investors to forecast how Toll stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Toll Brothers more accurately as focusing exclusively on Toll Brothers' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjectedHigh
3.854.144.33
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.92112.91114.90
Details
Potential
Annual Dividend
LowForecastedHigh
0.620.620.63
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTarget PriceHigh
83.8592.14102.28
Details
Traditionally analysts and sophisticated investors use multiple methods for valuing a cash-flow-generating entity or its stock. For example, some money managers use Toll Brothers' intrinsic value based on its ongoing forecasts of Toll Brothers' financial statements. In contrast, other private, professional wealth advisors use a multiplier approach by looking to relative value analysis against Toll Brothers' closest peers. When choosing an evaluation method for Toll Brothers, ensure it is appropriate for the firm given its current financial situation and market classification. If more than one evaluation category is relevant, we suggest using both methods to arrive at a better estimate.

Toll Brothers Investments

(113.28 Million)

Toll Valuation Trend

Knowing Toll Brothers' actual value is paramount for traders to make sound investment determinations. Toll Brothers' real value is not only important for the investor to make better decisions but also for a more accurate overall view of Toll Brothers' financial worth over time since having this information enables investors and analysts to forecast the earnings more efficiently. Using both Toll Brothers' enterprise value as well as its market capitalization is the best way to gauging the value of the company and is usually enough for investors to make market timing descisions.

Toll Market Cap

Toll Brothers is rated fifth in market capitalization category among related companies. Market capitalization of Consumer Discretionary industry is at this time estimated at about 164.14 Billion. Toll Brothers holds roughly 11.79 Billion in market capitalization claiming about 7% of stocks in Consumer Discretionary industry.
Capitalization  Revenue  Total debt  Valuation  Workforce

Toll Brothers Valuation Ratios as Compared to Competition

Comparative valuation techniques use various fundamental indicators to help in determining Toll Brothers's current stock value. Our valuation model uses many indicators to compare Toll Brothers value to that of its competitors to determine the firm's financial worth. You can analyze the relationship between different fundamental ratios across Toll Brothers competition to find correlations between indicators driving Toll Brothers's intrinsic value. More Info.
Toll Brothers is rated below average in price to earning category among related companies. It is rated fifth in price to book category among related companies fabricating about  0.32  of Price To Book per Price To Earning. The ratio of Price To Earning to Price To Book for Toll Brothers is roughly  3.14 . The value of Price To Book Ratio is estimated to slide to 1.25. Comparative valuation analysis is a catch-all model that can be used if you cannot value Toll Brothers by discounting back its dividends or cash flows. This model doesn't attempt to find an intrinsic value for Toll Brothers' Stock. Still, instead, it compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark or nearest competition to determine if the stock is relatively undervalued or overvalued. The reason why the comparable model can be used in almost all circumstances is due to the vast number of multiples that can be utilized, such as the price-to-earnings (P/E), price-to-book (P/B), price-to-sales (P/S), price-to-cash flow (P/CF), and many others. The P/E ratio is the most commonly used of these ratios because it focuses on the Toll Brothers' earnings, one of the primary drivers of an investment's value.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates Toll Brothers' worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in Toll Brothers and how it compares across the competition.

About Toll Brothers Valuation

The stock valuation mechanism determines the current worth of Toll Brothers on a weekly basis. We use both absolute as well as relative valuation methodologies to arrive at the intrinsic value of Toll Brothers. In general, an absolute valuation paradigm, as applied to this company, attempts to find the value of Toll Brothers based exclusively on its fundamental and basic technical indicators. By analyzing Toll Brothers's financials, quarterly and monthly indicators, and its related drivers such as dividends, operating cash flow, and various types of growth rates, we attempt to find the most accurate representation of Toll Brothers's intrinsic value. In some cases, mostly for established, large-cap companies, we also incorporate more traditional valuation methods such as dividend discount, discounted cash flow, or asset-based models. As compared to an absolute model, our relative valuation model uses a comparative analysis of Toll Brothers. We calculate exposure to Toll Brothers's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Toll Brothers's related companies.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Gross ProfitB3.2 B
Pretax Profit Margin 0.21  0.11 
Operating Profit Margin 0.20  0.12 
Net Profit Margin 0.16  0.17 
Gross Profit Margin 0.30  0.24 

Toll Brothers Quarterly Retained Earnings

6.89 Billion

8 Steps to conduct Toll Brothers' Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates Toll Brothers' potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct Toll Brothers' valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain Toll Brothers' financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine Toll Brothers' revenue streams: Identify Toll Brothers' primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research Toll Brothers' industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish Toll Brothers' growth potential: Evaluate Toll Brothers' management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine Toll Brothers' financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate Toll Brothers' estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.
Toll Brothers' stock price is the clearest measure of market expectations about its performance. Without stock valuation, investors cannot independently discern whether Toll Brothers' value is low or high relative to the company's performance and growth projections. Determining the market value of Toll Brothers can be done in different ways, such as multiplying its stock price by its outstanding shares.
A single share of Toll Brothers represents a small ownership stake in the entity. As a stockholder of Toll, your percentage of company ownership is determined by dividing the number of shares you own by the total number of shares outstanding and then multiplying that amount by 100. Owning stock in a company generally confers both corporate voting rights and income from any dividends paid to the stock owner.

Toll Brothers Dividends Analysis For Valuation

Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio is expected to rise to 66.04 this year, although the value of Dividends Paid will most likely fall to about 77.9 M. . At this time, Toll Brothers' Retained Earnings are quite stable compared to the past year. Earnings Yield is expected to rise to 0.17 this year, although the value of Retained Earnings Total Equity will most likely fall to about 4.4 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid82 M77.9 M
Dividend Yield 0.01  0.01 
Dividend Payout Ratio 0.08  0.07 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 62.90  66.04 
There are various types of dividends Toll Brothers can pay to its shareholders, and the actual value of the dividend is determined on a per-share basis. It is to be paid equally to all of Toll shareholders on a specific date, known as the payable date. The cash dividend is the most common type of dividend payment - it is the payment of actual cash from Toll Brothers directly to its shareholders. There are other types of dividends that companies can issue, such as stock dividends or asset dividends. When Toll pays a dividend, it has no impact on its enterprise value. It does, however, lowers the Equity Value of Toll Brothers by the value of the dividends paid out.

Toll Brothers Growth Indicators

Growth stocks usually refer to those companies expected to grow sales and earnings faster than the market average. Growth stocks typically don't pay dividends, often look expensive, and usually trading at a high P/E ratio. Nevertheless, such valuations could be relatively cheap if the company continues to grow, which will drive the share price up. However, since most investors are paying a high price for a growth stock, based on expectations, if those expectations are not fully realized, growth stocks can see dramatic declines. Note, investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as Toll Brothers does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding111 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y0.324
Forward Price Earnings9.0662

Toll Brothers Current Valuation Indicators

Valuation refers to the process of determining the present value of Toll Brothers and all of its assets. It can be calculated using a number of techniques. As many analysts who try to value Toll we look at many different elements of the entity such as Toll's management, its prospective future earnings, the current market value of the company's assets, as well as its capital structure formation. Toll Brothers' valuation analysis is also a process of estimating the intrinsic value of all assets and outstanding equities. There are different methodologies and models we use to develop the final Toll Brothers' valuation. The techniques such as discounted cash flow and fundamental indicators such as book value per share or market capitalization are well known and widely used across most financial advisers and money managers.
Valuations are an essential part of business, for companies themselves, but also for investors. For companies, such as Toll Brothers, valuations can help measure their progress and success and can help them track their performance in the market compared to others. In addition, investors can use Toll Brothers' valuations to help determine the worth of potential investments. They can do this by using data and information made public by a company. Regardless of who the valuation is for, it essentially describes Toll Brothers' worth.
When determining whether Toll Brothers is a strong investment it is important to analyze Toll Brothers' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Toll Brothers' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Toll Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Toll Brothers. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons.
For more information on how to buy Toll Stock please use our How to buy in Toll Stock guide.
You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.

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When running Toll Brothers' price analysis, check to measure Toll Brothers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Toll Brothers is operating at the current time. Most of Toll Brothers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Toll Brothers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Toll Brothers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Toll Brothers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Toll Brothers' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Toll Brothers. If investors know Toll will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Toll Brothers listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.324
Dividend Share
0.84
Earnings Share
12.91
Revenue Per Share
93.707
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.094
The market value of Toll Brothers is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Toll that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Toll Brothers' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Toll Brothers' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Toll Brothers' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Toll Brothers' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Toll Brothers' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Toll Brothers is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Toll Brothers' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.