TPL Plastech (India) Risk Analysis And Volatility Evaluation

TPLPLAST -- India Stock  

INR 265.65  7.35  2.69%

Macroaxis considers TPL Plastech to be not too risky. TPL Plastech Limited owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e. Sharpe Ratio) of -0.4212 which indicates TPL Plastech Limited had -0.4212% of return per unit of standard deviation over the last 1 month. Macroaxis philosophy towards measuring risk of any stock is to look at both systematic and un-systematic factors of the business, including all available market data and technical indicators. TPL Plastech Limited exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate volatility that cannot be diversified away. Please be advised to validate TPL Plastech Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.05 and Coefficient Of Variation of 616.15 to confirm risk estimate we provide.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

TPL Plastech Market Sensitivity

As returns on market increase, TPL Plastech returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding TPL Plastech will be expected to be smaller as well.
One Month Beta |Analyze TPL Plastech Limited Demand Trend
Check current 30 days TPL Plastech correlation with market (DOW)
β = 0.4327
TPL Plastech Small BetaTPL Plastech Limited Beta Legend

TPL Plastech Limited Technical Analysis

Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of seventeen. TPL Plastech Limited Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input. View also all equity analysis or get more info about average price price transform indicator.

TPL Plastech Projected Return Density Against Market

Assuming 30 trading days horizon, TPL Plastech has beta of 0.4327 . This entails as returns on market go up, TPL Plastech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding TPL Plastech Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, TPL Plastech Limited has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
 Predicted Return Density 
      Returns 
Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the coefficient of variation of TPL Plastech is -237.44. The daily returns are destributed with a variance of 10.71 and standard deviation of 3.27. The mean deviation of TPL Plastech Limited is currently at 2.18. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (DOW) has volatility of 0.38
α
Alpha over DOW
=0.3
β
Beta against DOW=0.43
σ
Overall volatility
=3.27
Ir
Information ratio =0.23

TPL Plastech Return Volatility

TPL Plastech Limited accepts 3.2731% volatility on return distribution over the 30 days horizon. DOW inherits 0.389% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 30 days horizon.
 Performance (%) 
      Timeline 

Market Risk Breakdown

TPL Plastech Volatility Factors

30 Days Market Risk

Not too risky

Chance of Distress in 24 months

Below average

30 Days Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes market

Investment Outlook

TPL Plastech Investment Opportunity

TPL Plastech Limited has a volatility of 3.27 and is 8.38 times more volatile than DOW. 29% of all equities and portfolios are less risky than TPL Plastech. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of TPL Plastech Limited is lower than 29 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 30 days. Use TPL Plastech Limited to protect against small markets fluctuations. The stock experiences unexpected downward movement. The market is reacting to new fundamentals. Check odds of TPL Plastech to be traded at 255.02 in 30 days. As returns on market increase, TPL Plastech returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding TPL Plastech will be expected to be smaller as well.

TPL Plastech correlation with market

Average diversification
Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding TPL Plastech Limited and equity matching DJI index in the same portfolio.

TPL Plastech Volatility Indicators

TPL Plastech Limited Current Risk Indicators

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