Travelers Companies Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TRV -- USA Stock  

USD 147.25  0.91  0.62%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with The Travelers Companies which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Travelers Companies hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of The Travelers Companies from the prospective of Travelers Companies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Travelers Companies over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Travelers Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Travelers Companies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Travelers Companies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 17, 2019
147.25
Current Value
143.90
Downside
147.32
After-hype Price
150.74
Upside
Travelers Companies is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of The Travelers Companies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Travelers Companies Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 1.14% 0.07%  0.04% 8 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
147.25147.320.05%
67.46% 

Travelers Companies Hype Timeline

On 17 of September The Travelers Companies is traded for 147.25. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.07 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. The Travelers Companies is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 147.32. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 67.46%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.05% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Travelers Companies is about 104.97% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 147.21. The company reported last year revenue of 31.02B. Total Income to common stockholders was 2.66B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 7.61B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days.
Also please take a look at Travelers Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Travelers Companies Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Everest Re Group Ltd 0.11 8 per month 1.32  0.0261  1.94 (2.01)  4.85 
XL Group Ltd 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
W R Berkley Corporation 0.28 8 per month 0.93  0.11  1.72 (1.93)  5.45 
Prudential Financial(0.26) 7 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.42 (2.95)  11.87 
Choice Hotels International In 0.81 8 per month 1.12  0.08  1.75 (1.66)  8.57 
Hanover Insurance Group 0.76 8 per month 0.86  0.0086  1.60 (1.43)  5.16 
Alleghany Corporation(14.31) 9 per month 1.09  0.11  1.86 (2.18)  8.53 
Selective Insurance Group 0.06 9 per month 0.00 (0.0302)  2.01 (2.24)  7.43 
AmTrust Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.32 (0.0101)  0.63 (0.70)  1.61 
The Travelers Companies 1.69 8 per month 0.00 (0.0499)  1.42 (2.04)  4.61 

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Also please take a look at Travelers Companies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
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