Tractor Supply Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TSCO -- USA Stock  

USD 101.56  0.24  0.24%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Tractor Supply Company which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Tractor Supply hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Tractor Supply Company from the prospective of Tractor Supply response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Tractor Supply over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Tractor Supply Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Tractor Supply After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Tractor Supply Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 22, 2019
101.56
Current Value
101.56
After-hype Price
106.36
Upside
Tractor Supply is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tractor Supply is based on 2 months time horizon.

Tractor Supply Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.11% 1.60% 0.35%  0.04% 6 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
101.56101.560.35%
50.79% 

Tractor Supply Hype Timeline

Tractor Supply is at this time traded for101.56. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.35 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Tractor Supply Company is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 101.56. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 50.79%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.35% where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Tractor Supply is about 450.7% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 101.52. The company reported previous year revenue of 8.19B. Net Income was 549.68M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.7B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 6 days.
Also please take a look at Tractor Supply Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Tractor Supply Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vipshop Holdings Limited(0.19) 9 per month 2.99  0.06  5.31 (4.72)  13.23 
Barnes Noble 0.02 6 per month 0.00 (0.0092)  1.07 (1.64)  3.43 
Rite Aid Corporation 0.16 9 per month 0.00 (0.0404)  7.12 (7.70)  31.83 
Sally Beauty Holdings Inc Na(0.51) 7 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.38 (5.16)  16.78 
Sprouts Farmers Market(0.01) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0357)  2.88 (2.69)  10.77 
Spectrum Brands Holdings(1.47) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0486)  3.17 (2.97)  7.83 
SuperValu 0.00 0 per month 0.00  4.18  0.00  0.00  0.06 
Sysco Corporation(0.01) 8 per month 1.00  0.09  1.87 (1.52)  4.63 
Target Corporation(1.01) 7 per month 1.17  0.14  2.69 (2.22)  6.11 
Walgreens Boots Alliance(0.53) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0089)  2.06 (2.31)  9.10 
Also please take a look at Tractor Supply Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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