Hostess Brands Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TWNKW -- USA Stock  

USD 1.93  0.03  1.58%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hostess Brands Inc Warrants which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Hostess Brands hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Hostess Brands Inc Warrants from the prospective of Hostess Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hostess Brands over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Hostess Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hostess Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 16, 2019
1.93
Current Value
1.93
After-hype Price
29.38
Upside
Hostess Brands is out of control asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Hostess Brands Warrants is based on 2 months time horizon.

Hostess Brands Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.65% 9.15% 0.00%  0.12% 0 Events / Month4 Events / MonthWithin a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.931.930.00%
0.00% 

Hostess Brands Hype Timeline

Hostess Brands Warrants is at this time traded for1.93. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. Hostess Brands Inc Warrants is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at 0.65%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Hostess Brands is about 5099.07%%. The volatility of related hype on Hostess Brands is about 5099.07% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 2.05. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.16. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Hostess Brands Warrants had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hostess Brands Related Hype Analysis

Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
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