Hostess Brands Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

TWNKW -- USA Stock  

USD 1.05  0.02  1.94%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Hostess Brands Inc Warrants which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Hostess Brands hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Hostess Brands Inc Warrants from the prospective of Hostess Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Hostess Brands over a specific investment horizon. Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Hostess Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Hostess Brands Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06% 5.11% 0.00%  0.15% 1 Events / Month3 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1.051.050.00%
17,033% 

Hostess Brands Hype Timeline

Hostess Brands Inc Warrants is at this time traded for1.05. This company stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.15. Hostess Brands Inc Warrants is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 17033.33%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is at this time at -0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to Hostess Brands is about 210.94%%. The volatility of related hype on Hostess Brands is about 210.94% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1.2. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Hostess Brands Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vedanta Limited(0.45) 5 per month 0.00 (0.20)  5.51 (5.41)  10.61 
Hero MotoCorp Limited 24.20 1 per month 2.01  0.07  5.51 (2.67)  11.81 
Metro Pacific Investments Corporation 0.00 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Berkshire Hathaway 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Bank of Baroda(4.05) 2 per month 0.00  0.06  2.81 (4.09)  14.40 
Wells Fargo Company(0.24) 1 per month 0.00 (0.24)  0.69 (0.49)  1.29 
Wells Fargo Company(0.08) 2 per month 0.27 (0.35)  0.59 (0.60)  1.66 
Wells Fargo Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 

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Also please take a look at Hostess Brands Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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